Quote from: Jeffrey Neville on April 23, 2014, 12:51:08 PMRest assured, the Australian authorities are already damping expectations - it's not credibly believed to be part of the 777.Sad, seems we still have no material clue - not one bobbing seat cushion found in all that surveillance...Nope. Nuttin'. Nada. The Empty Set. It does seem so intuitive that something buoyant would pop up. Only underscores our tendency to underestimate the vastness of the oceans... I did hear that someone in the search or pundit communities has speculated about doing a total reset on the search, from A-Z...
Rest assured, the Australian authorities are already damping expectations - it's not credibly believed to be part of the 777.Sad, seems we still have no material clue - not one bobbing seat cushion found in all that surveillance...
Quote from: Mark Appel on April 23, 2014, 02:12:38 PMQuote from: Jeffrey Neville on April 23, 2014, 12:51:08 PMRest assured, the Australian authorities are already damping expectations - it's not credibly believed to be part of the 777.Sad, seems we still have no material clue - not one bobbing seat cushion found in all that surveillance...Nope. Nuttin'. Nada. The Empty Set. It does seem so intuitive that something buoyant would pop up. Only underscores our tendency to underestimate the vastness of the oceans... I did hear that someone in the search or pundit communities has speculated about doing a total reset on the search, from A-Z...Which is exactly what they did for Air France AF-447 Mark. That's when it got really complicated but, it got results."Our approach to the AF 447 search is rooted in classical Bayesian inference, which allows the organization of available data with associated uncertainties and computation of the PDF for target location given these data."The full successful method is explained here...https://www.informs.org/ORMS-Today/Public-Articles/August-Volume-38-Number-4/In-Search-of-Air-France-Flight-447And contains some nice graphics and formulae
Wow! Didn't mean to 'start' something. But very interesting info. I was just hinting at a similarity to the Tighar artifact that also must have "washed up on shore" at some point.
The biggest drawback with having to expand the search area is that a lot of that area is out of the reach of the Bluefin-21.