TIGHAR

Amelia Earhart Search Forum => Radio Reflections => Topic started by: JNev on November 29, 2011, 07:43:48 AM

Title: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: JNev on November 29, 2011, 07:43:48 AM
I've borrowed the name for this topic from Irvine John Donald's latest post under "Fuel Consumption" (http://tighar.org/smf/index.php/topic,387.0.html) in the Aircraft & Powerplant section of the AE forum.  In fact, it is in keeping with his suggestion that a new string might be a good idea for this.  My apologies if already covered somewhere, but I thought it was a good question that was worth exploring.

Among the post-loss message evidence there is a good bit of information suggesting many things - "ship on reef", etc. and there have been many musings on how AE and FN might have identified the Norwich City wreck, as that could tie into Betty's Notebook  (http://tighar.org/Projects/Earhart/Archives/Documents/Notebook/notebook.html) and the references to "NY" therein, etc.  No where do I recall any reference to Gardner.

None of this means that I personally don't believe AE and FN found their way to Gardner - I happen to believe in this theory very strongly.  But this is an interesting point.  Perhaps exploring the reasons why it may not have been mentioned by name during post-loss transmissions  (http://tighar.org/wiki/Post-loss_Radio_Messages--Overview) may help others understand more about the conditions AE and FN may have found themselves in.  It may also help us understand that "name that island" may not be so crucial to the theory we find so worthwhile (landing at Gardner) - tragically, that event could well have occurred without AE ever realizing the name of the place.

Enjoy.  Any other thoughts on this?
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: John Ousterhout on November 29, 2011, 06:57:55 PM
What is known about the charts they had on board the aircraft?  Was Gardner actually named on the chart, or might it only have been shown as one of several small islands with (approximate) positions?

Reading Betty's notes makes me wonder if she was hearing attempts to describe what was known by AE/FN, such as radio bearings from commercial stations, distances from known features, frequencies picked up, etc, all only partially heard and then only partially written down by someone who didn't recognize the nomenclature.
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: John Ousterhout on November 30, 2011, 04:29:29 PM
According to http://www.unmuseum.org/earhart.htm , "Clarence Williams prepared the maps and charts for the flight".  I'm not familiar with his name, and will do some research to learn more about him and what he might have prepared.   Fred's Atlantic chart indicates to me that he did a lot of preparation that would make it easier to track progress.  By pre-calculating expected navigation readings at hourly checkpoints, he could quickly identify how far off and in what direction they were from the desired course, assuming he could get a star shot.
When AE radioed "We are on the line 157 337", I take that to mean they had just intercepted the line.  Her next transmission, "We are running on line north and south", I take to mean they had turned to follow the line.  I think it safe to assume they could accurately fly a 157 337 heading, but I don't have the same confidence that they could accurately determine drift while following that line.  The winds aloft that pushed them off course for Howland weren't accurately allowed for, but Fred's technique allowed for that by accurately figuring arrival at the LOP, then following it up (or down?) to the island. Since they missed Howland by some unknown (to them) distance, how do they know what island they arrive at after changing to a different course for another hour or two that he hadn't prepared in advance?  Sometime he must have moved from the cockpit back to the navigation table to work out where they were, leaving Amelia to fly the plane, try to communicate, and look for a place to land.
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Gary LaPook on November 30, 2011, 10:59:38 PM
What is known about the charts they had on board the aircraft?  Was Gardner actually named on the chart, or might it only have been shown as one of several small islands with (approximate) positions?


I would love to find some examples of 'marine general charts' such as FN may have used to see what can be learned.  That will be a bit of a quest to look forward to.

LTM -
Check out Noonan's chart to Dakar available here:
https://sites.google.com/site/fredienoonan/discussions/navigation-to-dakar

Other charts are available at Purdue but you have to pay to have them copied. On line you can look at Purdue's index to those charts.
gl
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: John Ousterhout on December 01, 2011, 01:47:09 AM
The Cape Verde islands are shown on Fred Noonan's map in Gary's link (thanks Gary).  There are two in particular that are practically dots between Santa Lusia and Saint Nicolao in the northern group. Those two un-named islands are Ilheu Branco, and Ilheu Raso.  I. Raso is listed as having an area of 8 sq. km, making it roughly twice the area of Gardner island.  If FN had landed on Branco or Raso, and relied on that map, he would not have known the island's name.
Was Gardner so small that it didn't have a name on the chart AE/FN had with them?
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Friend Weller on December 01, 2011, 08:14:49 AM
An additional point to ponder:  as we know from the Niku Overflight Video the size and shape of Gardner Island are different from what was depicted on maps in 1937.  AE and FN may have been thinking "well it doesn't match what's on the map but hey, it's land!  We'll figure out where we are once we're on the ground."  Since what they saw from the plane isn't what's depicted on the maps available to them and if during any pre-flight research FN had seen the older German map with its dual-named Gardner and McKean islands as well as the imaginary Mary Laetitia and Arthur islands, there may have been a degree of confusion as to where they felt they had ended up.  Rather than broadcast an uncertain location, the use of an obvious landmark might have been decided to be a better way to identify their location to rescuers.
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Gary LaPook on December 01, 2011, 01:08:22 PM
Good points, John.  And excellent find, Gary - thanks for sharing that - I look forward to digging into those!

LTM -
It wasn't a "find," I paid Purdue to make that copy for me. :D
You may find other things of interest on my website at:
https://sites.google.com/site/fredienoonan/
I am attaching the index to the Purdue collection, the charts start on page 47. The Natal to Dakar chart is number 83. Here is a link to the National Geographic map listed as number 86.
http://www.maps.com/map.aspx?pid=15967
The listing states that charts 111 through 126 have been digitized so should be a available for a reasonable price. The high cost I paid for the Natal to Dakar chart was to have it digitized.
gl
gl
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Thom Boughton on December 02, 2011, 06:25:49 PM
An additional point to ponder:  as we know from the Niku Overflight Video the size and shape of Gardner Island are different from what was depicted on maps in 1937.  AE and FN may have been thinking "well it doesn't match what's on the map but hey, it's land!  We'll figure out where we are once we're on the ground."  ........

Actually, I like this one....as well as not wanting to confuse matters with unverified guesses.  Let me throw in this compleatly hypothetical corollary to the notion......

If we assume that Betty's Notebook is accurate and what Betty heard were indeed authentic distress calls (I do, actually)....then all indications are that FN was not of lucid mind most of the time...or at all...after their arrival. And while FN might have known (even in the face of the charting errors) where they were, after their arrival (and the injuries sustained therein) he wasn't in any condition to remember. 

I can see where in planning FN would have had Gardner (or maybe not specifically Gardner but 'one of the islands in this group right here' ) in his back pocket as a backup plan, yet not fully discussed every little detail of the matter with AE.  Navigation was his department and keeping the airplane upright, running, and pointed in the right direction was hers.  All indications seem to be that AE did indeed believe her own press and may very well have dismissed any real trepidation over not finding Howland.  Although, there might have been discussion of 'what do we do if we don't find it'....the discussion in her mind may have been something in the neighbourhood of 'we can deviate to this island group here on the chart I am pointing to...surely we'll find one of them'. 

Surely FN was not so lackadaisical about such details, but AE didn't seem to be big on minutia...especially on things that weren't her department.  Let's face it, this is the person who didn't bother to fully learn and understand the DF radio she was betting their lives on. And that WAS her department.  If that wasn't important enough for her to spend time on, then the names of potential backup waypoints probably weren't either.  Or at least not enough to commit them all permanently to memory.  The fact that Fred had a plan that he was confident in may very well have been enough for her to go on.

Once in flight and not having found Howland, the discussion was probably more concerned with headings, time, winds,  and fuel, than the names of places.  As Friend puts it 'I'll worry about asking Fred what its called we when we're on the ground."  Only....once on the ground, the fellow who knew the name of it now wasn't even capable of counting his toes. And, even with the charts in her hands...her knowledge conceivably may have been limited to 'we're somewhere on one of these islands'.


Just a thought. Utter unfounded speculation, admittedly.  (Therefore, worth less than the time I spent typing it.)  But, a thought nonetheless.



LTM,

     .....twb

Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: John Ousterhout on December 02, 2011, 09:04:24 PM
Good thinking Thom,
I agree that the confidence that AE had in untested abilities and technology seems incredible, to put it mildly.  It appears that they didn't actually "test" two-way communication at all, until they were approaching Howland.  Were they truely so confident in Fred's navigation that DF wasn't of primary importance?  I find that almost unbelievable.
If the map scale they were using was similar to the one FN used to fly across the atlantic, then Gardner island was likely drawn as little more than a dot, without any recognizable shape, like the two islands in the Cape Verde group I mentioned above that were similar in size* to Gardner.
(*I couldn't find the length or width of the Cape Verde islands, but they don't have lagoons.  Gardner may actually be "larger", but is mostly lagoon)
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Thom Boughton on December 03, 2011, 12:28:06 AM
......Were they truely so confident in Fred's navigation that DF wasn't of primary importance?  I find that almost unbelievable......


Well, in our conjecture let's not lead ourselves astray.  The DF was of primary (or at least equal) importance. Celestial Nav is not a silver bullet. Even with the best (and FN was clearly considered to be THE best) at the helm, it's nominal resolution is maybe ten miles.  So the plan was to navigate to within DF range and then steer the final several miles via DF.  Only....for whatever reason we didn't feel it necessary to bother with fully understanding the usage or any of the real limitations of the equipment. 

Now, whether this was due to other distractions, unbridled narcissism,  or just plain forgetfulness, seems to be pretty much anybody's guess.  Ultimately, this bundled together with the unexpected loss of a working voice receiver resulted in Suicide By Technology.

If there was one thing that I learned throughout my career, underlined much more clearly during the few times I worked in conjunction with NTSB investigations, it is that accidents usually are not the result of a single lone error.  Rather, it's the collective outcome of several errors, failures, or really bad decisions made at really bad times, all working in concert with each other.  And if this whole matter doesn't put an exclamation point on that, then I suspect that nothing ever will.


LTM,

    ....TB
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Gary LaPook on December 03, 2011, 09:50:54 PM
......Were they truely so confident in Fred's navigation that DF wasn't of primary importance?  I find that almost unbelievable......


Well, in our conjecture let's not lead ourselves astray.  The DF was of primary (or at least equal) importance. Celestial Nav is not a silver bullet. Even with the best (and FN was clearly considered to be THE best) at the helm, it's nominal resolution is maybe ten miles.
LTM,

    ....TB
The uncertainty of a celestial fix is considered to be 10 NM, very few fall outside of this distance from the actual position and most are much better, about 5 or 6 NM. To obtain fixes within 10 NM, the uncertainty of each LOP making up the fix must be less than 7 NM, very few fall outside this range and most LOPs are better, usually within about 3 to 5 NM of the actual postion. The celestial sun line LOP "landfall" procedure is a standard navigational procedure used to find small islands WITHOUT the use of any radio navigation aid whatsoever.

"The celestial landfall is the most certain method of reaching destination....If your destination is a small oceanic island without a radio, you may need celestial." Air Force Manual 51-40 (1951) Page 304.
https://sites.google.com/site/fredienoonan/resources/air-navigation-afm-51-40-1951/afm51-40-1951-304.JPG?attredirects=0


"Landfalls - The safest way to get to destination," Navigator's Information File (1944) Page 3-17-1.
https://docs.google.com/viewer?a=v&pid=sites&srcid=ZGVmYXVsdGRvbWFpbnxmcmVkaWVub29uYW58Z3g6M2I5OTVhMWZmMmI4ZDFiZA



Even at the outer limits of 7 NM uncertainty, Fred's LOP should have brought them close enough to see Howland, the Itasca (and the LOP crossed the Itasca's smoke screen if they were west of Howland.) So either method, celestial or RDF, should have been accurate enough, used alone, to find Howland so they provided redundant methods making the resulting failure very unlikely. But sometimes even redundant systems fail, e.g. a skydiver's reserve chute doesn't open properly after the failure of the main parachute or a pilot runs out of gas with both fuel gauges and a fuel totalizer installed.

See the standard flight navigation reference books available here:

https://sites.google.com/site/fredienoonan/topics/accuracy-of-celestial-fixes

https://sites.google.com/site/fredienoonan/topics/landfall-procedure

https://sites.google.com/site/fredienoonan/other-flight-navigation-information/recent-landfall-approach

https://sites.google.com/site/fredienoonan/discussions/navigation-to-howland-island

https://sites.google.com/site/fredienoonan/discussions/the-myth-of-the-sunrise-lop

gl

Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: John Ousterhout on December 06, 2011, 07:36:13 PM
What % of the radio messages do we have records of?  I'd be surprised if it totalled 5%, and more likely much less.  Is it reasonable to think that "Gardner" (or something that sounds like "Gardner") would be included in there?  For that matter, I doubt that "Gardner Island" was identified on Fred's charts, based on the comparable-sized islands shown on his Atlantic charts, prepared by the same person.  If they landed on Gardner, I believe they did not know the name ("on an unidentified island"), nor the general shape (see Fred's Atlantic chart, and look at the smallest of Cape Verde islands - they're not identified, yet were larger than Gardner).
Notes passed back and forth:
AE "wht's islnd name?"
FN "not shown. Looks recently inhabited"
AE "no fuel. landing"
FN "ok.  'will get location fm grnd & xmt location"
AE "buckle up"
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Irvine John Donald on December 06, 2011, 11:45:31 PM
I think that if you have TIGHAR faith (believe in the Gardner theory) you likely believe that AE and FN, for whatever reason, failed to find Howland and flew south on the best chance of hitting an island.  It's likely the charts of the day didn't specify the island names but the Norwich City was one heck of a landmark.  Again, if you have TIGHAR faith, you believe that Betty heard the calls for help and the name of the wreck. Reasonably minded people can make reasonable assumptions that the locals, who AE and FN thought might hear their radio calls, would know about the landmark. What better way to describe to those listening where they were. Time is an issue for them as water is limited. They need to be rescued. Even if they guessed they were on Gardner the natives may have another name for the island and not recognize "Gardner". Besides, what if they had doubts about what island they were on?  So many islands with palm trees and lagoons. How do you describe the one you're on versus another?  Your island has a great big shipwreck to make it special.  If someone other than young Betty had heard the ships name would that have been enough?  I think Ric posted somewhere in this forum that the shipwreck was not well known. But if someone else had heard it then it's still a better clue than "waiting for rescue on a deserted island with a lagoon and palm trees."  Someone could at least investigate the name "Norwich City".  Could this be why Gardner wasn't mentioned?
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Mona Kendrick on December 07, 2011, 10:43:23 AM
I think that if you have TIGHAR faith (believe in the Gardner theory) you likely believe that AE and FN, for whatever reason, failed to find Howland . . .   Again, if you have TIGHAR faith, you believe that Betty heard the calls

    Ric has pointed out in the past that TIGHAR is not a faith-based organization.

    Sorry, couldn't resist.  ;D

Mona
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Irvine John Donald on December 07, 2011, 01:26:18 PM
LOL!   Good point.  Perhaps substitute "certitude" for "faith".  I don't want anyone to get the wrong idea or be offended.  However I'm sure others may comment on this point.  Perhaps claiming it's faith based may increase contributions.
Title: Morse msg analysis Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Gus Rubio on December 08, 2011, 10:57:54 AM
It's likely the charts of the day didn't specify the island names but the Norwich City was one heck of a landmark.  Again, if you have TIGHAR faith, you believe that Betty heard the calls for help and the name of the wreck. Reasonably minded people can make reasonable assumptions that the locals, who AE and FN thought might hear their radio calls, would know about the landmark. What better way to describe to those listening where they were. Time is an issue for them as water is limited. They need to be rescued. Even if they guessed they were on Gardner the natives may have another name for the island and not recognize "Gardner". Besides, what if they had doubts about what island they were on?  So many islands with palm trees and lagoons. How do you describe the one you're on versus another?  Your island has a great big shipwreck to make it special.  If someone other than young Betty had heard the ships name would that have been enough?  I think Ric posted somewhere in this forum that the shipwreck was not well known. But if someone else had heard it then it's still a better clue than "waiting for rescue on a deserted island with a lagoon and palm trees."  Someone could at least investigate the name "Norwich City".  Could this be why Gardner wasn't mentioned?

I have a little theory I've been fiddling with recently, about one of the post-loss Morse code messages:

"281 NORTH HOWLAND CALL KHAQQ BEYOND NORTH DONT HOLD WITH US MUCH LONGER ABOVE WATER SHUTOFF"

If we examine the phrase “BEYOND NORTH” in detail, we see that TH in Morse is “- ....”.  But a C in Morse is “-.-.”.  So if two of the dots in C came across as a single dash,  instead of “BEYOND NORTH” we get “BEYOND NOR C”, or “NOR(wich) C(ity)”.  Remember, the quality of this message was quite poor, and AE/FN were not proficient in Morse.

A similar thought process turns the first occurence of "NORTH" into "SOUTH", which makes more sense ("south of Howland").  *shrug*

This is just a little exercise I went through, for fun.  Thoughts?
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Irvine John Donald on December 08, 2011, 11:41:21 AM
Interesting but I don't believe AE or FN had a morse key with them.  Did you check in the post loss credibility paper to see if this message was marked as "credible"? 
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Ric Gillespie on December 10, 2011, 07:19:06 AM
Interesting but I don't believe AE or FN had a morse key with them.  Did you check in the post loss credibility paper to see if this message was marked as "credible"?
The "281 message" is credible.  AE and FN did not have a morse key with them so any attempt to send code was done by pressing and releasing the push-to-talk switch on the mic.  Extremely cumbersome and resulting in a "poorly keyed" transmission as reported by the Navy.
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Irvine John Donald on December 10, 2011, 08:00:49 AM
Then Gus has an interesting angle given Ric's comments about it being keyed from a microphone.

Was there only one written interpretation on this message?  If others heard it did they interpret it exactly the same way or differently?  Comparing them may give Gus more to work with.
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Ric Gillespie on December 10, 2011, 08:17:24 AM
Was there only one written interpretation on this message?

Navy Radio Wailupe (near Honolulu) heard the transmission and apparently told the Coast Guard in Honolulu about it in a telephone call.  Coast Guard Honolulu (COMHAWSEC) then advised Itasca in a radio message that said:
The following Morse code transmission, consisting of fragmentary phrases, with extremely poor keying, was copied by three Navy operators: “281 NORTH HOWLAND CALL KHAQQ BEYOND NORTH DONT HOLD WITH US MUCH LONGER ABOVE WATER SHUT OFF”

No interpretation was offered and, unfortunately, there is no information about which words constituted phrases.  For example, was it "281 NORTH ..... HOWLAND CALL KHAQQ" or "281 NORTH HOWLAND ... CALL KHAQQ?"  It was Warner Thompson, the CO aboard Itasca, who interpreted the words to mean that the plane was afloat 281 miles north of Howland.
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Irvine John Donald on December 10, 2011, 08:35:30 AM
Thanks Ric. Just to be clear.  It was one CG radio station and three CG radio operators at tha one station. All three interpreted an "extremely" poorly keyed and fragmentary message identically?  I am unfamiliar with CG radio procedures but is that likely?  As has been demonstrated with Itasca radio logs, could this be another case of radio log "adjustments"?  Could Gus in fact be right?
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Ric Gillespie on December 10, 2011, 09:28:18 AM
These were not CG operators.  These were USN radio operators at the Navy's main radio facility in Hawaii. I would expect that they were pretty good.  It was a Sunday night, the night of the 4th of July.  Official traffic was probably pretty slow and they apparently had time to amuse themselves by tuning in 3105 and seeing if they could hear any of the Earhart messages everyone was talking about.  The phrases were reportedly heard over the course of an hour but the phrases only take a minute or so to send, even if you go really slow - so it would seem logical to speculate that the phrases were sent repeatedly.  If there was an error in relating what was heard I suspect it happened in the (supposed) phone call from the Navy to the Coast Guard or the message from COMHAWSEC to Itasca. 
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Irvine John Donald on December 10, 2011, 09:44:06 AM
Thank you Ric. As always your explanation "paints" a reasonable portrayal of "theoretical" events and the facts surrounding them. Plausible and likely.

I typed the line above with a smile on my face. I really wrote that line for Gary. He hasn't made many posts lately so I am guessing he is doing some major research on Ric's suggestion on crab wrestling and he isn't finding a lot of official technical documents to support his position that the crabs will win. (Or lose, just as long as he isn't on the same side as Ric.)

Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Ric Gillespie on December 10, 2011, 09:53:42 AM
There is video of me wrestling a medium-sized Coconut Crab out of a hollow tree.  I'll put it up on Youtube when I get a chance.  Kids, don't try this at home.
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: richie conroy on December 10, 2011, 05:05:34 PM
1 ov the interviews tighar have done, the person they were interviewing referred to ship on reef as the city ov norwich

also part ov bettys note book telling george to go in cubboard would love to know if he did
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Ric Gillespie on December 13, 2011, 06:43:31 PM
The "281" isn't so far off from the actual distance from Howland to Gardner, is it?

If you don't have a sextant but you do have an almanac you can get your latitude pretty accurately by simply observing the time of local noon (when the sun is highest).  If you know you latitude, you know how far you are from the equator.  The spot where we think the Electra was when the "281" message was heard is 280 nautical miles from the equator.
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Gary LaPook on December 14, 2011, 01:05:32 AM
The "281" isn't so far off from the actual distance from Howland to Gardner, is it?

If you don't have a sextant but you do have an almanac you can get your latitude pretty accurately by simply observing the time of local noon (when the sun is highest). If you know you latitude, you know how far you are from the equator.  The spot where we think the Electra was when the "281" message was heard is 280 nautical miles from the equator.
Sorry Ric, that's not how it works. If you could determine the time of noon, when the sun is highest in the sky, then you can easily find your approximate LONGITUDE, not your latitude. The sun circles around the earth (360 degrees) in 24 hours so it is traveling westward 15 degrees per hour (900 knots at the equator), one degree every four minutes and one nautical mile every 4 seconds. Since "noon" is connected to the sun, "noon" also travels westward at these same rates. This is not a normal technique because there are methods that provide a more accurate longitude. This is because the height of the sun changes very slowly around noon. Looking at noon at Gardner on July 2, 1937, the highest point the sun reaches 62° 18.6' at 2342:00 Z, noon. But, the sun climbs through 62° 17.6' at 2337:59 Z and descends through the same altitude at 2346:06 Z. This means that the altitude of the sun stays within one minute of arc, one-sixtieth of a degree, of its highest point for eight minutes, during which time the sun moves two degrees westward, which makes the longitude determined by this method only accurate within two degrees, 120 NM. And to achieve that accuracy you need a sextant because there is nobody on the planet earth that can see a one minute change in the sum's altitude without a sextant and it is difficult even with a sextant. And that's with a marine sextant which is much more accurate than a bubble sextant.

If you can accurately measure the altitude of the sun at it's highest point, at noon, then you can easily determine your latitude but this also requires a sextant since you can't estimate the height with the naked eye any better than about ten degrees so you can only determine your latitude with a naked eye to a precision of about 10 degrees, 600 NM, so the "281" wasn't determined this way. To get to an accuracy of one mile you need the altitude to be measured to a precision of one minute of arc and the sextant carried by Noonan had a scale marked only every two minutes of arc.

gl
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: John Ousterhout on December 14, 2011, 06:50:04 AM
"If you could determine the time of noon, when the sun is highest in the sky, then you can easily find your approximate LONGITUDE, not your latitude."
Then the chapter "Finding Latitude by meridian transit and Polaris" in my copy of Crawford is wrong? :o  No wonder they got lost.

I find it easy to believe that FN had a map showing the location of Gardner, but not the name of the island.  It would be an easy matter to take the latitude off of the map, if he was sure that particular dot of an island was where they were at.
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Ric Gillespie on December 14, 2011, 07:22:08 AM
Sorry Ric, that's not how it works.

Thanks for the correction.

If you can accurately measure the altitude of the sun at it's highest point, at noon, then you can easily determine your latitude but this also requires a sextant since you can't estimate the height with the naked eye any better than about ten degrees so you can only determine your latitude with a naked eye to a precision of about 10 degrees, 600 NM, so the "281" wasn't determined this way. To get to an accuracy of one mile you need the altitude to be measured to a precision of one minute of arc and the sextant carried by Noonan had a scale marked only every two minutes of arc.

Now THAT is interesting.  We think the airplane (and thus our heroes) were at roughly 4.65° South. If a degree of latitude in that neighborhood is 60 nm (I have great faith that you'll correct me if I'm wrong) then our heroes were 279 nm from the equator.  The proximity of that number to "281" is intriguing but I have always wondered how Fred could be close but not precise.  I would have thought that ol' Fred, if he could get their latitude at all, would nail it to the mile.  You have provided a reasonable possible explanation.  Not that I don't trust you  ;) but I checked and the Brandis Navy Surveying Sextant is, indeed, marked in two degree increments.

The "281" message is one of the most cryptic, frustrating, and fascinating transmissions in the whole pantheon of post-loss radio signals.  If 281 is an attempt to convey the plane's location it means that someone, either AE or Fred, has used the sextant to determine latitude, probably by shooting the sun at local noon, but has not used the sextant to get a precise location by shooting the stars on any of the three nights they've been there.  Fred certainly had the required knowledge and expertise to do that.  AE just as certainly did not but she may have been able to manage a simple sun shot.

The 281 message was sent in the very early morning hours (Gardner time) of Monday, July 5.  The transmission Betty heard - with an apparently irrational Noonan - was heard later that same morning.   

Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Chris Johnson on December 14, 2011, 07:42:18 AM
Has GLP added further fuel to the Niku Hypothysis?

Watch this space  ;D ;D ;D
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Gary LaPook on December 14, 2011, 02:37:35 PM
Sorry Ric, that's not how it works.

Thanks for the correction.

If you can accurately measure the altitude of the sun at it's highest point, at noon, then you can easily determine your latitude but this also requires a sextant since you can't estimate the height with the naked eye any better than about ten degrees so you can only determine your latitude with a naked eye to a precision of about 10 degrees, 600 NM, so the "281" wasn't determined this way. To get to an accuracy of one mile you need the altitude to be measured to a precision of one minute of arc and the sextant carried by Noonan had a scale marked only every two minutes of arc.

Now THAT is interesting.  We think the airplane (and thus our heroes) were at roughly 4.65° South. If a degree of latitude in that neighborhood is 60 nm (I have great faith that you'll correct me if I'm wrong) then our heroes were 279 nm from the equator.  The proximity of that number to "281" is intriguing but I have always wondered how Fred could be close but not precise.  I would have thought that ol' Fred, if he could get their latitude at all, would nail it to the mile.  You have provided a reasonable possible explanation.  Not that I don't trust you  ;) but I checked and the Brandis Navy Surveying Sextant is, indeed, marked in two degree increments.

The "281" message is one of the most cryptic, frustrating, and fascinating transmissions in the whole pantheon of post-loss radio signals.  If 281 is an attempt to convey the plane's location it means that someone, either AE or Fred, has used the sextant to determine latitude, probably by shooting the sun at local noon, but has not used the sextant to get a precise location by shooting the stars on any of the three nights they've been there.  Fred certainly had the required knowledge and expertise to do that.  AE just as certainly did not but she may have been able to manage a simple sun shot.

The 281 message was sent in the very early morning hours (Gardner time) of Monday, July 5.  The transmission Betty heard - with an apparently irrational Noonan - was heard later that same morning.
The problem with this is that after you measure the sun's altitude at noon, you do the standard computation and the answer that you get at the end of the computation is the latitude, not the distance in NM (or SM) from the equator. There is no standard navigation procedure in which you convert the latitude to distance from the equator. Transmitting the latitude itself provides better information about their location because the receiver of the information can instantly look at his chart at the indicated latitude. If the transmitted information was distance from the equator then the receiver would have to convert it back again to latitude before he could look for it on his chart. So why would they do additional computations to convert the latitude to NM prior to transmitting it? This is especially unlikely if we are assuming that Earhart was doing this work since it is hard to believe that she took any interest in celestial navigation in light of her lackadaisical attitude towards other aspects of this flight, such as proper operation of the radio, that were even more directly in her bailiwick. 
gl
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Gary LaPook on December 14, 2011, 03:56:10 PM
"If you could determine the time of noon, when the sun is highest in the sky, then you can easily find your approximate LONGITUDE, not your latitude."
Then the chapter "Finding Latitude by meridian transit and Polaris" in my copy of Crawford is wrong? :o  No wonder they got lost.

I find it easy to believe that FN had a map showing the location of Gardner, but not the name of the island.  It would be an easy matter to take the latitude off of the map, if he was sure that particular dot of an island was where they were at.
Not wrong, just read it more carefully. Notice I said "the TIME of noon" not the height of the sun at noon. I was simply responding to Ric's post in which he mentioned the "time of noon." The standard noon sight for latitude has been used since Columbus' time, you don't need a clock to do this, you only need a calender.  You find the latitude by measuring the altitude of the sun at noon, the exact time is not important for finding latitude. But one cannot find longitude without accurate time and that wasn't available until the end of the 18th century. A four second error in the time will throw your longitude off by one nautical mile (at the equator), a one minute error in the time will cause a 15 NM error and a 4 minute error in the time will make a 60 NM error, one degree of longitude, in the calculated longitude. These errors in time can come from errors in the clock or in errors in estimating when the sun was at its highest point. As I said, one can find his APPROXIMATE longitude by observation at noon but not to a high level of precision due to noise in the observation which causes small random variations in the altitudes measured with the sextant.

Latitude by Polaris is a completely different procedure in which the timing is not as critical as it is with the noon sight but you can't get longitude from a Polaris sight.

You apparently did not read the second paragraph in my prior post.

gl

gl
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Gary LaPook on December 14, 2011, 04:28:27 PM
The "281" isn't so far off from the actual distance from Howland to Gardner, is it?

If you don't have a sextant but you do have an almanac you can get your latitude pretty accurately by simply observing the time of local noon (when the sun is highest).  If you know you latitude, you know how far you are from the equator.  The spot where we think the Electra was when the "281" message was heard is 280 nautical miles from the equator.

That makes the number even more interesting. 

I have forgotten what instruments exactly FN carried, but believe there were two - one primary and one 'preventer' that was actually a nautical device modified for aviation use.  Maybe these didn't survive - maybe they did.  Even if they were 'limited' in accuracy FN may well have been able to sort out the '281' figure from all he could muster.  Of course injury may be a factor against that, hard to say.

In the end though, it's hard to discount that AE and FN very well could have sorted that out and it would be an obviously desireable element for any message they might manage to get out while able.  The number came from somewhere - what an odd coincidence if not related to Gardner. 

Thanks, Ric.

LTM -
The idea that Noonan carried a marine sextant in the Electra comes from a letter that Noonan wrote to his friend Philip Van Horn Weems and published in Weems' Air Navigation, 1938 ed. In this letter Noonan was describing the procedures and equipment used when he was navigating the very much larger flying boats of Pan Am which had voluminous navigation stations and room for every imaginable item that could be of any use. (In fact, he was describing the first Pan Am pioneering flight from Alameda to Honolulu in a Sikorsky S-42, NR823M, April 16&17, 1935, two years before the Earhart flight. See attached photo.) And, even in the Pan Am four engined flying boat, Noonan wrote that the "Pioneer bubble octant...was used for all sights."  It was a very different situation in the Electra so there is no direct evidence that Noonan carried a marine sextant on the Earhart flight.  "Due to the spacious chart room and large chart table aboard the Clipper, the navigation equipment need not be so severely limited as in smaller planes...", page 423. You can read Noonan's entire letter on pages 422 through 425 of Air Navigation (https://sites.google.com/site/fredienoonan/resources/weems).

gl
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Ric Gillespie on December 14, 2011, 07:57:13 PM
Specifically what navigational equipment do you think he would be unable to carry in the Electra?
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: JNev on December 14, 2011, 08:21:20 PM
Specifically what navigational equipment do you think he would be unable to carry in the Electra?

None, within reason, personally.

With all due respect to Gary's comparison of the L10E's capacity versus that of the Clipper's, I don't think carrying both pieces, as stated in the reference Gary provided, would have been at all difficult in the Electra.  Somehow I always had the impression that he did - and actually still do. 

I also suspect that while FN may have surely described something as-done on a specific Pan Am trip in that particular statement, that it was not really limited to that context.  I can see where some may argue that as it might seem limited to that context to them.  But to me it reads more like FN not just telling what was done a) on that trip, and b) aboard Clippers, but also c) it is very possibly revealing of a habit or philosophy that FN employed. 

I can't know that or prove it.  But we all have certain habits that go with our duties in life - and FN's somehow seemed to involve a primary instrument and a 'preventer', at least to me (opinion).  There was also a sextant box found on Gardner some decades ago - I wonder what type of instrument it was consistent with?  Maybe the 'preventer'?

A fact we can know: NR16020 wasn't so limited on capacity that FN would have had to leave his 'preventer' behind.  He could have easily carried both a primary and preventer aboard NR16020.  After all, he was the only guy riding in the back as opposed to a much different arrangement on the first world flight.  Why wouldn't there be ample room and capacity for a preventer to be included for the longest trans-oceanic leg AE and FN faced?  Maybe they left the 50 gallons or so of fuel behind on Lae to allow it...  ;D

If it were me, I think I'd pack a preventer along - and FN would have realized better than I that one drop to the deck and an instrument is questionable at the very least.  Isn't that how Rickenbacker got in trouble in a B-17 once?  I don't think NR16020 or AE would have known the difference, or cared.

LTM -
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Irvine John Donald on December 14, 2011, 08:30:49 PM
Gary,

Please take this as a compliment.  If I ever commit a crime I'm hiring you as my lawyer. I'm confident you would find a reason to prove I wasn't even at the scene.

To Jeff's latest post....  In the case of a very long trip would you not take a second sextant anyway as a backup?  Your point about it likely being an FN habit is likely bang on. Navigation was FN's career. In fact on a clipper he probably needed the "preventer" less than he needed it on the global trip with AE. 
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Gary LaPook on December 15, 2011, 12:48:41 AM
Gary,

Please take this as a compliment.  If I ever commit a crime I'm hiring you as my lawyer. I'm confident you would find a reason to prove I wasn't even at the scene.

To Jeff's latest post....  In the case of a very long trip would you not take a second sextant anyway as a backup?  Your point about it likely being an FN habit is likely bang on. Navigation was FN's career. In fact on a clipper he probably needed the "preventer" less than he needed it on the global trip with AE.
As I said, there is no evidence that Noonan carried a second sextant on the Earhart flight, no witnesses, no documents and no photographs. No marine sextant is listed on the Luke field inventory. Noonan's letter would not be admissible evidence in a court of law to prove that a second sextant was carried on the Earhart flight because it is too remote in time and the circumstances are too different. In fact, the letter itself shows the circumstances are not the same, as Noonan wrote "Due to the spacious chart room and large chart table aboard the Clipper, the navigation equipment need not be so severely limited as in smaller planes..." and no one can dispute that the Electra is a "smaller plane" compared to the S-42. And note, Noonan did NOT say in the letter, "I always carry a marine sextant as a 'preventer.'" And Noonan made no mention of a marine sextant in his article published a year later (https://sites.google.com/site/fredienoonan/resources/noonan-article/Noonan1936article.pdf?attredirects=0). (BTW, as to Noonan's experience at sea, ships commonly carried only one sextant.) (Although there is such a thing as "habit evidence," this one letter comes nowhere close to the requirements to prove an action based on a "habit.")
Could they have crammed in an additional sextant, probably, but looking at all the things that Earhart removed from the plane, including even papers and her Colt pistol, a second sextant would seem pretty low on Earhart's priority list. We pilots want two of everything, two engines, two spark plugs in each cylinder, two magnetos on each engine, two fuel pumps, two navcoms, two GPSs, etc., but there is a limit. How about two life rafts, two parachutes for each person, two coffee pots, two "potties?"
By 1937 the Pioneer octant had been perfected and was carried in thousands of Air Force and Navy planes, virtually unchanged, through the end of WW2. Bubble octants are extremely simple and reliable instruments. Bubble octants were used on trans-oceanic airline flights through the 1970's and commonly on Air Force planes until less than ten years ago, (I believe that there are still some Air Force planes with them.) In all of these uses, only ONE octant was carried in each airplane, no "preventer" in B-17s, no "preventer" in Boeing 707s, no "preventer" in B-47s, no "preventer" in C-130s, and no "preventer" in B-52s, and none of these planes were limited by space and weight constraints like the Electra. No second octant was carried in any of these planes because they are so simple and reliable.
So, like I said, there is no evidence to prove that a marine sextant was carried on the Electra, the burden of proof is on those who make that claim.

gl
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Thom Boughton on December 15, 2011, 12:59:54 AM
Now THAT is interesting.  We think the airplane (and thus our heroes) were at roughly 4.65° South. If a degree of latitude in that neighborhood is 60 nm (I have great faith that you'll correct me if I'm wrong) then our heroes were 279 nm from the equator.  The proximity of that number to "281" is intriguing but I have always wondered how Fred could be close but not precise.  I would have thought that ol' Fred, if he could get their latitude at all, would nail it to the mile.  You have provided a reasonable possible explanation.  Not that I don't trust you  ;) but I checked and the Brandis Navy Surveying Sextant is, indeed, marked in two degree increments.

The "281" message is one of the most cryptic, frustrating, and fascinating transmissions in the whole pantheon of post-loss radio signals.  If 281 is an attempt to convey the plane's location it means that someone, either AE or Fred, has used the sextant to determine latitude, probably by shooting the sun at local noon, but has not used the sextant to get a precise location by shooting the stars on any of the three nights they've been there.  Fred certainly had the required knowledge and expertise to do that.  AE just as certainly did not but she may have been able to manage a simple sun shot.


Ric....

I suspect I shall be sorry for wading into the middle of this...especially as I'm not taking either side on the matter.  However, in the midst of all this I've become terribly curious.....

If we work it backwards, 279 miles is (as you've said) roughly 4.65°.  However, 281 miles works out to be 4.683°.  Obviously, this give us a difference of only 0.03°.  Not really familiar with the Brandis sextant, but my archaic old Esco (also marked in 2° increments) isn't even close to being capable of that kind of resolution based only on a simple sun shot. 

Perhaps all of this is just due to a simple (read: unfortunate) error in an attempt at interpolation?  I mean, it seems that Fred mightn't have even been able to count his toes at the time, and AE was...well, AE.

(or am I merely embarrassing myself by having missed something here?)


....tb

Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Gary LaPook on December 15, 2011, 01:30:05 AM
Now THAT is interesting.  We think the airplane (and thus our heroes) were at roughly 4.65° South. If a degree of latitude in that neighborhood is 60 nm (I have great faith that you'll correct me if I'm wrong) then our heroes were 279 nm from the equator.  The proximity of that number to "281" is intriguing but I have always wondered how Fred could be close but not precise.  I would have thought that ol' Fred, if he could get their latitude at all, would nail it to the mile.  You have provided a reasonable possible explanation.  Not that I don't trust you  ;) but I checked and the Brandis Navy Surveying Sextant is, indeed, marked in two degree increments.

The "281" message is one of the most cryptic, frustrating, and fascinating transmissions in the whole pantheon of post-loss radio signals.  If 281 is an attempt to convey the plane's location it means that someone, either AE or Fred, has used the sextant to determine latitude, probably by shooting the sun at local noon, but has not used the sextant to get a precise location by shooting the stars on any of the three nights they've been there.  Fred certainly had the required knowledge and expertise to do that.  AE just as certainly did not but she may have been able to manage a simple sun shot.


Ric....

I suspect I shall be sorry for wading into the middle of this...especially as I'm not taking either side on the matter.  However, in the midst of all this I've become terribly curious.....

If we work it backwards, 279 miles is (as you've said) roughly 4.65°.  However, 281 miles works out to be 4.683°.  Obviously, this give us a difference of only 0.03°.  Not really familiar with the Brandis sextant, but my archaic old Esco (also marked in 2° increments) isn't even close to being capable of that kind of resolution based only on a simple sun shot. 

Perhaps all of this is just due to a simple (read: unfortunate) error in an attempt at interpolation?  I mean, it seems that Fred mightn't have even been able to count his toes at the time, and AE was...well, AE.

(or am I merely embarrassing myself by having missed something here?)


....tb
Did you mean Ebbco?

gl
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Irvine John Donald on December 15, 2011, 02:36:05 AM
Gary,

Please take this as a compliment.  If I ever commit a crime I'm hiring you as my lawyer. I'm confident you would find a reason to prove I wasn't even at the scene.

To Jeff's latest post....  In the case of a very long trip would you not take a second sextant anyway as a backup?  Your point about it likely being an FN habit is likely bang on. Navigation was FN's career. In fact on a clipper he probably needed the "preventer" less than he needed it on the global trip with AE.
As I said, there is no evidence that Noonan carried a second sextant on the Earhart flight, no witnesses, no documents and no photographs. No marine sextant is listed on the Luke field inventory. Noonan's letter would not be admissible evidence in a court of law to prove that a second sextant was carried on the Earhart flight because it is too remote in time and the circumstances are too different. In fact, the letter itself shows the circumstances are not the same, as Noonan wrote "Due to the spacious chart room and large chart table aboard the Clipper, the navigation equipment need not be so severely limited as in smaller planes..." and no one can dispute that the Electra is a "smaller plane" compared to the S-42. And note, Noonan did NOT say in the letter, "I always carry a marine sextant as a 'preventer.'" And Noonan made no mention of a marine sextant in his article published a year later (https://sites.google.com/site/fredienoonan/resources/noonan-article/Noonan1936article.pdf?attredirects=0). (BTW, as to Noonan's experience at sea, ships commonly carried only one sextant.) (Although there is such a thing as "habit evidence," this one letter comes nowhere close to the requirements to prove an action based on a "habit.")
Could they have crammed in an additional sextant, probably, but looking at all the things that Earhart removed from the plane, including even papers and her Colt pistol, a second sextant would seem pretty low on Earhart's priority list. We pilots want two of everything, two engines, two spark plugs in each cylinder, two magnetos on each engine, two fuel pumps, two navcoms, two GPSs, etc., but there is a limit. How about two life rafts, two parachutes for each person, two coffee pots, two "potties?"
By 1937 the Pioneer octant had been perfected and was carried in thousands of Air Force and Navy planes, virtually unchanged, through the end of WW2. Bubble octants are extremely simple and reliable instruments. Bubble octants were used on trans-oceanic airline flights through the 1970's and commonly on Air Force planes until less than ten years ago, (I believe that there are still some Air Force planes with them.) In all of these uses, only ONE octant was carried in each airplane, no "preventer" in B-17s, no "preventer" in Boeing 707s, no "preventer" in B-47s, no "preventer" in C-130s, and no "preventer" in B-52s, and none of these planes were limited by space and weight constraints like the Electra. No second octant was carried in any of these planes because they are so simple and reliable.
So, like I said, there is no evidence to prove that a marine sextant was carried on the Electra, the burden of proof is on those who make that claim.

gl

Are you saying that if FN lost, misplaced, broke or had his primary sextant stolen then he would have been able to get it replaced easily anywhere on the world trip?  Are you also saying that unless it was recorded somewhere in evidence then he couldn't possibly have had it with him?  And aren't all the aircraft you list as having "no preventer" loaded up with modern, electronic nav equipment that have backup systems?  Doesn't that mean the bubble octant in those aircraft is the backup to the backup?  Whereas for FN it was his primary method of navigation?
Please excuse my ignorance of aeronautics and navigation practices.
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: JNev on December 15, 2011, 05:24:03 AM
I dunno about FN's 'character' being summarily excluded - that's a little argumenative for our purposes here (and perhaps even in a 'court of law'...) - and he's revealed something positive about his character and habit as a professional navigator that is worth thinking about.  No one said it 'proved' anything anyway.   

And I'm not really sure that a scientific quest that asks us to contribute rational ideas really also requires us to stand-up to what a 'court of law' would require regarding the prosecution of a criminal in an open discussion, but there goes that 'impeachment' thing again...  ::)

If FN really thought that 'the one' instrument was so immune to damage, etc., then why did he bother carrying a 'preventer' on the Pan Am flight in the first place?  Was that a fluke?

Impeachment attempts don't seem to contribute much to our seeking here.  I would personally much rather see a positive alternate opinion or theory to talk about if Gary has one.

LTM -
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Irvine John Donald on December 15, 2011, 06:40:47 AM
You're right Jeff. I wonder if Gary spends as much time on what he believes happened as he does trying to disprove the TIGHAR hypothesis?  It would be nice if he shared it. Probably very interesting reading. Maybe even give us food for thought.
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Ric Gillespie on December 15, 2011, 06:41:40 AM
...but looking at all the things that Earhart removed from the plane, including even papers and her Colt pist0l

Colt pistol???  Did AE have a Colt pistol??  I would LOVE for AE to have had a Colt pistol. For Christmas I'm asking Santa for documentation that AE had a Colt pistol.

So, like I said, there is no evidence to prove that a marine sextant was carried on the Electra, the burden of proof is on those who make that claim.

Of course it is.   What we have is a string of coincidences.
-Noonan said he carred a marine sextant as a "preventer."
- A photo of the navigation room aboard a Martin M130 clipper shows a box for a Brandis Navy Surveying Sextant on the shelf.
- the numbers reported to have been on the sextant box found with the castaway bones on Gardner fit perfectly in the sequence of known Brandis makers and Naval Observatory numbers.
- So the box found with the bones was almost certainly the same kind of sextant Noonan used as a preventer.

That's not proof that it was Noonan's box or even that Noonan had such a box with him on the world flight, but it leaves us with two possibilities:
1. The box was Noonan's
2. A box for a sextant just like Noonan carried on the Clippers somehow turned up in the possession of a castaway on a remote corner of a remote uninhabited Pacific atoll and who seems to have been an American woman of the 1930s - but was NOT Amelia Earhart.
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Ric Gillespie on December 15, 2011, 06:46:11 AM
If we work it backwards, 279 miles is (as you've said) roughly 4.65°.  However, 281 miles works out to be 4.683°.  Obviously, this give us a difference of only 0.03°.  Not really familiar with the Brandis sextant, but my archaic old Esco (also marked in 2° increments) isn't even close to being capable of that kind of resolution based only on a simple sun shot. 

My only point is that a sun shot from Gardner with a Brandis sextant might reasonably result in an estimate of 281 nm from the equator.
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: John Ousterhout on December 15, 2011, 06:49:24 AM
I'd like to step back for a moment to ask why anyone would assume he might have had two instruments? (edit - I posted this before Ric's more detailed post, above)  We may be making a simple mistaken assumption.  We "know" that FN most likely carried a bubble octant for their celestical nav.  We know that a "sextant" case was found on the island. Is this the source of the inference that there were two instruments during the last flight?  I would not expect the difference between a case for an octant and a case for a sextant to be obvious to a casual observer, if found on a beach (although the serial numbers is a compelling argument).  I also would expect FN to bring the case for the Octant, to protect it in flight.  Where's that case?

I also strongly suspect that his map did not name Gardner island, and it isn't mentioned in AE or FN's correspondance. Didn't AE mention the "Phoenix islands"?  That may have been the extent of island identification on a large-scale map. Otherwise the map may only have shown little more than dots for the islands (like the Cape Verde example on one of FN's actual maps).  Dots are fine for determining ratherr precise position, distance or bearing information, if you know which dot you're on.  One of the post-loss transmissions mentions something like "an unidentified island".  What identification would be expected, other than a name on a map?  A big sign on the beach?
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Ric Gillespie on December 15, 2011, 07:09:19 AM
I would not expect the difference between a case for an octant and a case for a sextant to be obvious to a casual observer, if found on a beach (although the serial numbers is a compelling argument).  I also would expect FN to bring the case for the Octant, to protect it in flight.  Where's that case?

The boxes for bubble octants and nautical sextants are actually very different.  See photo.

Didn't AE mention the "Phoenix islands"?

Not that I recall.

Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: John Ousterhout on December 15, 2011, 08:54:44 AM
I know, and you know, that the cases are quite different.  My point wasn't clear - to someone not familiar with octants, the case found on the beach might have been described as being for a “sextant”.  Were octants common enough for the difference to be well known?  I was under the impression that they were primarily used by airmen, not by sailors.
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Ric Gillespie on December 15, 2011, 09:19:36 AM
I know, and you know, that the cases are quite different.  My point wasn't clear - to someone not familiar with octants, the case found on the beach might have been described as being for a “sextant”.  Were octants common enough for the difference to be well known?  I was under the impression that they were primarily used by airmen, not by sailors.

Read the Bones Chronology, page 5 (http://tighar.org/Projects/Earhart/Archives/Documents/Bones_Chronology5.html).  The box was shown to Harold Gatty.

"I return the sextant box which I had retrieved from Captain Nasmyth in order to show it to Mr. Gatty who has expert knowledge of such matters. Mr. Gatty thinks that the box is an English one of some age and judges that it was used latterly merely as a receptacle. He does not consider that it could in any circumstance have been a sextant box used in modern trans-Pacific aviation."
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Gary LaPook on December 15, 2011, 10:51:49 AM
...but looking at all the things that Earhart removed from the plane, including even papers and her Colt pist0l

Colt pistol???  Did AE have a Colt pistol??  I would LOVE for AE to have had a Colt pistol. For Christmas I'm asking Santa for documentation that AE had a Colt pistol.
Merry Christmas, Ric!

If you read Mary Lovell's book I can understand your Christmas wish to Santa Claus.

Mary Lovell's wrote at page 267-268:

"...Her obsession with weight may have been taken to extreme length,
for according to Harry Balfour, radio operator at Lae, survival
equipment was also taken off. Balfour claimed that "she unloaded all her
surplus equipment on me including her [Very] pistol and ammunition,
books, letters and facility books"".

What Balfour actually said was:

"...[A]ll messages received from her were forwarded to her husband
together with some private papers she left with me at the radio station,
she also gave me her automatic pistol and ammunition and some radio
facility books, but these I do not have now they became lost during the
war."

Letter from Balfour reprinted as exhibit 38 in Safford's book.


Long also writes:

"Earhart handed the package ...to Balfour...Balfour opened the paper and
inside was a 32-caliber handgun with a small box of ammunition."


Long, page 192.


I am curious who changed "automatic pistol" to "[Very] pistol",
was it Ms. Lovell or her source? She footnotes this information as
coming from Francis X. Holbrook, NA&SM Library, Amelia Earhart General
File: F0171300. The fact that "Very" was put in brackets shows that it was
deliberately changed, but why and by whom? Was it ignorance or political correctness?

There were plenty of .32 caliber automatic pistols available at the time, it was, and is, a popular caliber. Many manufacturers, FN, Savage, Star, Walther, Browning, etc., and one of the most popular in the U.S. was the Colt Pocket Pistol, model 1903. I had read somewhere (I don't remember where) that this was this model that AE carried. I have attached a photo of this type of automatic pistol.

We have all probably seen Colt Pocket Pistols in action. When Bogart shoots Edgar G. Robinson at the end of the 1948 movie "Key Largo" he is using one. Again when Bogart shoots Major Strasser at the end of the 1943 movie "Casablanca" Strasser falls to a bullet from a Colt Pocket Pistol. If you haven't seen this movie recently you should go out and rent it since you get the bonus of seeing an Electra taxiing at the Van Nuys airport, it's "the Lisbon plane."

gl


P.S.
Just for you Ric, because of your background in adjusting aircraft accidents, I am attaching a copy of my office's Christmas card.
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: John Ousterhout on December 15, 2011, 11:07:20 AM
Thanks Ric, I'm convinced. 
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Ric Gillespie on December 15, 2011, 11:47:25 AM
If you read Mary Lovell's book I can understand your Christmas wish to Santa Claus.

Unfortunately neither Lovelll, nor Balfour, nor Long provides any real documentation that Earhart had a pistol, let alone a Colt pistol.  I know I've seen a photo of her holding a Very pistol.  I think it was during that same weighing session/photo op prior to the first world flight attempt.


Thanks for the Christmas card.
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Gary LaPook on December 15, 2011, 12:03:36 PM
If you read Mary Lovell's book I can understand your Christmas wish to Santa Claus.

Unfortunately neither Lovelll, nor Balfour, nor Long provides any real documentation that Earhart had a pistol, let alone a Colt pistol.  I know I've seen a photo of her holding a Very pistol.  I think it was during that same weighing session/photo op prior to the first world flight attempt.


Thanks for the Christmas card.
Well Ric, Balfour was there and must have held the pistol in his hand so I count his letter as "documentation." As to it's being a Colt, I know I read it in a different book about Earhart's life, not one that concentrated on the disappearance. It was talking about her carrying the Colt at other times and didn't just talk about the final flight. If you are looking for a registration form or federal forms, well they didn't exist in those simpler times so don't dismiss Balfour's statement. (BTW, do you think Balfour was just having an hallucination after smoking dope one night?)
gl
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Irvine John Donald on December 15, 2011, 12:32:23 PM
Gary, Could you post a link to this documentation being quoted as an exhibit in a book?  Thanks  I can't seem to find it.
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Gary LaPook on December 15, 2011, 12:40:38 PM
Gary,

Please take this as a compliment.  If I ever commit a crime I'm hiring you as my lawyer. I'm confident you would find a reason to prove I wasn't even at the scene.

To Jeff's latest post....  In the case of a very long trip would you not take a second sextant anyway as a backup?  Your point about it likely being an FN habit is likely bang on. Navigation was FN's career. In fact on a clipper he probably needed the "preventer" less than he needed it on the global trip with AE.
As I said, there is no evidence that Noonan carried a second sextant on the Earhart flight, no witnesses, no documents and no photographs. No marine sextant is listed on the Luke field inventory. Noonan's letter would not be admissible evidence in a court of law to prove that a second sextant was carried on the Earhart flight because it is too remote in time and the circumstances are too different. In fact, the letter itself shows the circumstances are not the same, as Noonan wrote "Due to the spacious chart room and large chart table aboard the Clipper, the navigation equipment need not be so severely limited as in smaller planes..." and no one can dispute that the Electra is a "smaller plane" compared to the S-42. And note, Noonan did NOT say in the letter, "I always carry a marine sextant as a 'preventer.'" And Noonan made no mention of a marine sextant in his article published a year later (https://sites.google.com/site/fredienoonan/resources/noonan-article/Noonan1936article.pdf?attredirects=0). (BTW, as to Noonan's experience at sea, ships commonly carried only one sextant.) (Although there is such a thing as "habit evidence," this one letter comes nowhere close to the requirements to prove an action based on a "habit.")
Could they have crammed in an additional sextant, probably, but looking at all the things that Earhart removed from the plane, including even papers and her Colt pistol, a second sextant would seem pretty low on Earhart's priority list. We pilots want two of everything, two engines, two spark plugs in each cylinder, two magnetos on each engine, two fuel pumps, two navcoms, two GPSs, etc., but there is a limit. How about two life rafts, two parachutes for each person, two coffee pots, two "potties?"
By 1937 the Pioneer octant had been perfected and was carried in thousands of Air Force and Navy planes, virtually unchanged, through the end of WW2. Bubble octants are extremely simple and reliable instruments. Bubble octants were used on trans-oceanic airline flights through the 1970's and commonly on Air Force planes until less than ten years ago, (I believe that there are still some Air Force planes with them.) In all of these uses, only ONE octant was carried in each airplane, no "preventer" in B-17s, no "preventer" in Boeing 707s, no "preventer" in B-47s, no "preventer" in C-130s, and no "preventer" in B-52s, and none of these planes were limited by space and weight constraints like the Electra. No second octant was carried in any of these planes because they are so simple and reliable.
So, like I said, there is no evidence to prove that a marine sextant was carried on the Electra, the burden of proof is on those who make that claim.

gl

Are you saying that if FN lost, misplaced, broke or had his primary sextant stolen then he would have been able to get it replaced easily anywhere on the world trip?  Are you also saying that unless it was recorded somewhere in evidence then he couldn't possibly have had it with him?  And aren't all the aircraft you list as having "no preventer" loaded up with modern, electronic nav equipment that have backup systems? Doesn't that mean the bubble octant in those aircraft is the backup to the backup?  Whereas for FN it was his primary method of navigation?
Please excuse my ignorance of aeronautics and navigation practices.
If the Electra had been "lost, misplaced, broke" along the way could they have gotten a replacement easily? O.K., more on point, if the Mk IIB drift meter had been "lost, misplaced, broke" along the way could they have gotten a replacement easily? The drift meter was also a critical piece of navigation equipment but, according to the Luke Field Inventory, only one of these were carried. The drift meter is smaller and lighter than a marine sextant so no reason not to carry a back up of that yet they didn't. The aircraft had two mounts for the drift meter, one on each side of the plane because this is necessary to measure drift when the wind comes from one side or the other. They also carried a third mount for it that could be mounted in the propped opened door when necessary to measure drift when the drift was slight and Noonan had to be able to look directly behind the plane in order to measure the drift. Yet, in spite of the detail paid to the use on this critical instrument, they didn't carry a backup.

Through WW2 celestial navigation was the only method of long range, oceanic navigation. Towards the very end of the war, LORAN-A came on line and was installed in some planes. For example, the B-17 carrying Rickenbacker (a very big VIP on a high priority mission) only had celestial navigation for navigation and had only one octant on board and this was five years after Earhart disappeared.  At the end of the Cold War, when radio navigation equipment was installed in our planes, on the B-52s (and the KC-135s that were to accompany them to the U.S.S.R.), celestial navigation was planned to be the primary means to get there because it was believed that the Ruskies would turn off all of their radio navaids when the war started (DUH) and jam any other radio navaid so only celestial could be counted on to get the job done. And they carried only ONE octant in each plane and space, weight and cost was not an issue.

See Air Force Manual, AFM 51-40 (1951) (https://docs.google.com/viewer?a=v&pid=sites&srcid=ZGVmYXVsdGRvbWFpbnxmcmVkaWVub29uYW58Z3g6MWNkZDJhMmI4YWUyZGE4Zg) that shows that this was still the primary method in 1951. You also find celestial navigation in the most recent Air Force navigation manual AF PAM 11-216 (2001).

gl
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Gary LaPook on December 15, 2011, 12:51:00 PM
Gary, Could you post a link to this documentation being quoted as an exhibit in a book?  Thanks  I can't seem to find it.
O.K.
I notice that it was addressed to Holbrook so the original is probably at the NA&SM Library, Amelia Earhart General
File: F0171300.
gl
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Ric Gillespie on December 15, 2011, 12:51:34 PM
do you think Balfour was just having an hallucination after smoking dope one night?

No, I think he was recalling the details of something that happened many years before he wrote the letter.  I think recollections, whether related orally or written down, many years after an event are unreliable.  If they're not, then we all have to buy tickets for Saipan.
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Gary LaPook on December 15, 2011, 12:56:40 PM
do you think Balfour was just having an hallucination after smoking dope one night?

No, I think he was recalling the details of something that happened many years before he wrote the letter.  I think recollections, whether related orally or written down, many years after an event are unreliable.  If they're not, then we all have to buy tickets for Saipan.
Well that might make sense about his recollections about the radio communications, an important element of the story, but the pistol comment is so tangential to the main story that he would have no reason to even think about it when writing his letter if it didn't happen.

gl
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Chuck Varney on December 15, 2011, 12:59:03 PM
 I’m confused by recent exchanges in this thread that relate to angular markings on sextants, and the implied measurement capability that such markings might permit.

In Reply #33, Gary said: “. . . the sextant carried by Noonan had a scale marked only every two minutes of arc.” I’m guessing he was actually referring to a Pioneer bubble octant, as he’s expressed doubts that AE’s Electra carried a marine sextant.

In Reply #36, Ric seized upon the “two” from Gary’s post, substituted degrees for minutes, and reported: “. . . I checked and the Brandis Navy Surveying Sextant is, indeed, marked in two degree increments”.
 
In Reply #46 Thom brought up another sextant and recalled: “. . . my archaic old Esco (also marked in 2° increments). . .”.

Ric and Thom, the sextants you refer to had a vernier, or micrometer drum and vernier, did they not?

The Smithsonian website includes two marine sextants which they identify as Brandis “U.S. Navy surveying” sextants. They claim both can be read to 30 seconds of arc, using a vernier and magnifier. One (http://americanhistory.si.edu/collections/navigation/object.cfm?recordnumber=1087501) is reported to have its arc marked at 10-minute intervals, and the other (http://americanhistory.si.edu/collections/navigation/object.cfm?recordnumber=1058766) at 20-minute intervals.

Chuck
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Ric Gillespie on December 15, 2011, 01:11:25 PM
Ric and Thom, the sextants you refer to had a vernier, or micrometer drum and vernier, did they not?

The Brandis sextants I've seen don't have any kind of "drum." The one I have here has a vernier and magnifier on the arc which is marked in 2° increments.
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Irvine John Donald on December 15, 2011, 01:29:28 PM
Maybe they did lose the driftmeter and thats why they drifted too far south and couldn't find Howland.   :)
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Chuck Varney on December 15, 2011, 01:31:55 PM
The Brandis sextants I've seen don't have any kind of "drum." The one I have here has a vernier and magnifier on the arc which is marked in 2° increments.

And the vernier permits interpolation to how small an angle?

Chuck
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Ric Gillespie on December 15, 2011, 01:34:26 PM
And the vernier permits interpolation to how small an angle?

Beats me.
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Erik on December 15, 2011, 01:56:20 PM
If we work it backwards, 279 miles is (as you've said) roughly 4.65°.  However, 281 miles works out to be 4.683°.  Obviously, this give us a difference of only 0.03°.  Not really familiar with the Brandis sextant, but my archaic old Esco (also marked in 2° increments) isn't even close to being capable of that kind of resolution based only on a simple sun shot. 

My only point is that a sun shot from Gardner with a Brandis sextant might reasonably result in an estimate of 281 nm from the equator.

So, wouldn't it depend on what part of the island would be 281?  Island is 4 miles long.  So 281 could be +/- 4 miles therby making a potential range 277-285 miles.  Depending on where the 281 is being calibrated.  If 281 is calculated in the south, then the north would be 277 miles away, and if calculated in the north then the south would be 285 miles away.

Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: John Ousterhout on December 15, 2011, 02:05:30 PM
For an example of an older Sextant Vernier, see http://users.humboldt.edu/rpaselk/NavInst_Pics/VerSex_vern.jpg
It is a clear picture of the vernier scale on a high quality instrument for the 1900 period, and can be read to 10".  I would expect a much newer Brandis to be at least comparable, assuming it was about the same size.
However, I would also expect FN to use his Octant as his primary means to determine position, assuming it is a bit more accurate.  Besides, there seems no question that he at least had it on the aircraft.  What do we know about it? <answer: it was a US Navy Pioneer (aka "Brandis") Bubble Octant, #12-36, loaned by Harry Manning to FN, per his note dated March 20, 1937.  Similar "Aircraft Octants" in the Smithsonian collection have boxes essentially identical to "Sextant" boxes, but quite different from the Octant box picture posted earlier by Ric.  His Octant box looks much like the one I've got at home, and which is much newer than 1937.>
<edit: http://americanhistory.si.edu/collections/navigation/object.cfm?recordnumber=451575 is a photo of a 1920 Brandis, perhaps a bit more like FN's instrument.  It's scale is "read...to 30" seconds of arc">
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Gary LaPook on December 15, 2011, 03:53:17 PM
If we work it backwards, 279 miles is (as you've said) roughly 4.65°.  However, 281 miles works out to be 4.683°.  Obviously, this give us a difference of only 0.03°.  Not really familiar with the Brandis sextant, but my archaic old Esco (also marked in 2° increments) isn't even close to being capable of that kind of resolution based only on a simple sun shot. 

My only point is that a sun shot from Gardner with a Brandis sextant might reasonably result in an estimate of 281 nm from the equator.

So, wouldn't it depend on what part of the island would be 281?  Island is 4 miles long.  So 281 could be +/- 4 miles therby making a potential range 277-285 miles.  Depending on where the 281 is being calibrated.  If 281 is calculated in the south, then the north would be 277 miles away, and if calculated in the north then the south would be 285 miles away.

The island is that size from roughly NW to SE, but not N to S (maybe half).

"281" miles south of equator = latitude running through Aukermaine area of island - 'dry' land.  The place where some artifacts were found happens to lie there - shoe parts.   

LTM -
I'll help you guys out with this. Celestial navigation is based on the assumption that one degree along any great circle on earth is exactly 60 nautical miles. Meridians are great circles so latitude, which is measured north or south along a meridian, is also measured in degrees that are exactly 60 nautical miles long. Since the earth is not a perfect sphere, a degree along a great circle is not exactly 60 nautical miles depending where you on the earth, but to the precision available with celestial navigation you can't tell the difference. (This is not true, of course, when it comes to longitude since parallels of latitude are not great circles but get smaller the closer you come to either pole. The exception is that the equator which is a great circle.)

According to Google Earth, the latitude at the very northern tip of Gardner is 4° 39.3' south. (I have checked the accuracy of the coordinates shown by Google Earth in this area by comparison to the published coordinates of airports and they are very accurate.)
So four degrees times 60 NM per degree equals 240 NM. Add to this the 39.3 NM from the extra minutes of latitude (one minute of latitude equals one nautical mile) makes the distance from the equator equal 279.3 NM as calculated by celestial navigation.
For the other extreme we find a latitude of 4° 41.5' south, 281.5 NM from the equator. This point is near the eastern tip of the island but where they could still observe noon straight north of them over a sea horizon as would be necessary if they were using a marine sextant. If using the Pioneer octant then they could measure noon at the southern tip of the island at latitude 4° 41.8' south, 281.8 NM from the equator. The published coordinates for Gardner in current navigation reference books is 4° 40' south.

gl
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Gary LaPook on December 15, 2011, 04:51:55 PM
Quote from GL -

Through WW2 celestial navigation was the only method of long range, oceanic navigation. Towards the very end of the war, LORAN-A came on line and was installed in some planes. For example, the B-17 carrying Rickenbacker (a very big VIP on a high priority mission) only had celestial navigation for navigation and had only one octant on board and this was five years after Earhart disappeared."


I think your explanation of Rickenbacker's "fix" underscores the point: a "preventer" isn't a bad idea, now is it?  Just curious, but what have WWII and later developments have to do with AE's fix in 1937? We're kind of stuck with what she was stuck with.


We call this "custom and practice in the industry" and a widespread practice in an industry is admissible to prove something happened or was done on a particular occasion. The flying industry, from before Noonan's time until quite lately, had a practice of carrying only one octant on a plane so this tends to prove that Noonan did not carry two sextants on the Earhart flight. ( It was also "custom and practice" that only one sextant was carried on ships too.) Of course, if you can come up with a photo or a witness statement saying that Noonan carried a mariner's sextant on the Earhart flight, or that he always carried a marine sextant duct taped to his stomach (he told me "you never know when you might need one"), then you win, you've proved your point. The letter to Weems doesn't even come close and would not even be admissible into evidence because it is too remote and the situation is too different so it cannot be used to show a "habit" of Noonan's. There is a reason we have rules of evidence to keep this type of thing from being shown to a jury, and I am not just talking about in criminal cases where the burden of proof is "beyond a reasonable doubt" but also in civil trials with a much lower burden of proof of "more probable than not." The reason that this would not be admissible is that the people in the jury might make unwarranted and unreasonable inferences from it (kinda like you guys, I rest my case. ;)) And this is in a jury trial where the jurors are impartial and do not have a dog in the fight. Those who believe in the Gardner theory are not impartial, they believe that the sextant box found on the island supports their theory that the plane landed there so to help their theory Noonan had to have had that marine sextant in the Electra. This subtly affects their thinking regarding  whether the marine sextant was on the flight. They are engaging in "circular reasoning." Earhart landed on Gardner so this sextant box came from them. Since this sextant box came from them then they must have had it in the Electra. Since they had the sextant box in the Electra and we found it on Gardner then we have proved that the landed on Gardner. We can go around the circle again if you like. This is classical "circular reasoning." For the box on Gardner to lend support to your theory you must prove by evidence independent of the box on Gardner that Noonan carried it in the Electra and nobody has been able to show that, only speculation and unsupported inferences  from an inadmisable letter.
I could still be convinced, but it is your theory that they landed on Gardner and I am only keeping you honest, asking you to prove it.

gl
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Harry Howe, Jr. on December 15, 2011, 05:51:06 PM

Gary
What bothers me is: If they measured their latitude and found it to be 4degrees41minutes S why wouldn't they just transmit it as such?  Why go thru the trouble of converting it to 281 miles N?
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Gary LaPook on December 15, 2011, 05:55:32 PM

Gary
What bothers me is: If they measured their latitude and found it to be 4degrees41minutes S why wouldn't they just transmit it as such?  Why go thru the trouble of converting it to 281 miles N?
I already pointed that out.

gl
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Erik on December 15, 2011, 05:57:32 PM
Let's remember the topic at hand - "Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?"

For purposes of this discussion, it doesn't matter a whole lot the precision in which we can measure 281 miles.  Or even the exact length of Gardner diagonal or otherwise.   In other words, anything close to 281, would certainly define where they were within enough accuracy to identify the island they were on.  If they were floating in a featureless ocean, then things would be much different story.  Keep in mind the difference between precision and accuracy for the purposes of this discussion.

When it comes to tic' marks on the sextant (or any other device) it wouldn't matter too much about the precision of the 2° arc minutes.  Anything close would serve the purpose of identifying the island's location.  A degree of longitude for all practial purposes is 60nm anywhere within a 500 mile buffer of the equator.  You'd have to be 10-20 degrees off of the equator before you saw any noticeable deviation from 60nm rule of thumb - at least for this discussion's purposes.  As Gary points out, lattitude is not affected by this, making the North-South measurements somewhat even less affected by accuratlely measuring distances on the curved surface of the earth. 

I do find it fascinating that the 281 mark is right on for the Aukermaine site.  Perhaps in hindsight it would matter the precision in which they were identifying their location on the island.  That would be extremely insightful for them to radio their actual rescue location as opposed the aircraft's transmitting location.  That's where the argument of the 2° tic marks would actually have some significance.  Unless of course they originally landed at Aukermine, transmitting from there, and nessie was their 2nd landing location!  Stealing from a previous thread' - cue the spooky music! .........
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Erik on December 15, 2011, 06:09:15 PM

Gary
What bothers me is: If they measured their latitude and found it to be 4degrees41minutes S why wouldn't they just transmit it as such?  Why go thru the trouble of converting it to 281 miles N?

One of the radio transmission did point out the lat long of their locaiton.  This discussion is focused on the 281 transmision for some reason.  The transmision that did identify the lat long was remarkbly close to Garnder if you consider for a moment that the sextant was broken, lost, or otherwise non-functioning.  Even using your finger strected at arms-length is a very crude way of measuring one degree of angular distance.  If I recall correctly the radio transmission that had the lat long coordinate was within 20-30 miles of Gardner.  Reasonable accuracy if all you have is your finger!  Not trying to be funny, but rather morbidly realistic given undetermined circumstances.   ???
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Harry Howe, Jr. on December 15, 2011, 06:16:47 PM

Gary
What bothers me is: If they measured their latitude and found it to be 4degrees41minutes S why wouldn't they just transmit it as such?  Why go thru the trouble of converting it to 281 miles N?
I already pointed that out.

Great minds running on the same tracks.

gl
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Gary LaPook on December 15, 2011, 06:35:06 PM

Gary
What bothers me is: If they measured their latitude and found it to be 4degrees41minutes S why wouldn't they just transmit it as such?  Why go thru the trouble of converting it to 281 miles N?

One of the radio transmission did point out the lat long of their locaiton.  This discussion is focused on the 281 transmision for some reason.  The transmision that did identify the lat long was remarkbly close to Garnder if you consider for a moment that the sextant was broken, lost, or otherwise non-functioning.  Even using your finger strected at arms-length is a very crude way of measuring one degree of angular distance.  If I recall correctly the radio transmission that had the lat long coordinate was within 20-30 miles of Gardner.  Reasonable accuracy if all you have is your finger!  Not trying to be funny, but rather morbidly realistic given undetermined circumstances.   ???
This is news to me! Can you point us to that transmission?

gl
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Ricker H Jones on December 15, 2011, 06:41:59 PM


 From GL:  'The flying industry, from before Noonan's time until quite lately, had a practice of carrying only one octant on a plane so this tends to prove that Noonan did not carry two sextants on the Earhart flight.'
 
It wasn't cut and dried.  For example, the B-47 did carry two sextants.  One used by the Navigator-Bombarier in the nose, the other by the copilot in the rear tandem seat behind the pilot.  During the first World Flight attempt I thought it odd that Harry Manning had to arrange to borrow the Pioneer octant (36-12) from the North Island Naval Air Station in San Diego just a day before the Electra departed.  Even poor planning could not account for failure to provide for a sextant.  My belief is that an additional sextant (the term sextant is used generically to include sextants, octants, quadrants, etc.) was wanted aboard the Electra with the late addition of a second navigator--Noonan shooting from the copilot's seat, and Manning from the cabin to eliminate "musical chairs", or passing one sextant back and forth.  It wouldn't surprise me if a third sextant (the "preventer") was aboard, too.  Of course, this sheds little light on what was done on the second attempt.
By the way, the Luke Field inventory did list two drift sights.  The Pelorus drift sight is the one we see in the picture by the nav table (picture below).  The D-270 speed and drift indicator listed  may be the Pioneer drift sight that is described in the New York Herald Tribune article quoted in My Courageous Sister, but I have not seen a picture or description of it.
 
107
1
Ea.Speed & drift indicator, type D-270, with handbook
122
1
Pelorus drift sight, MK II B with extra base
(http://tighar.org/aw/mediawiki/images/thumb/3/38/MK_IIB_Pelorus_Drift_Sight.jpg/80px-MK_IIB_Pelorus_Drift_Sight.jpg)
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Erik on December 15, 2011, 06:57:01 PM

Gary
What bothers me is: If they measured their latitude and found it to be 4degrees41minutes S why wouldn't they just transmit it as such?  Why go thru the trouble of converting it to 281 miles N?

One of the radio transmission did point out the lat long of their locaiton.  This discussion is focused on the 281 transmision for some reason.  The transmision that did identify the lat long was remarkbly close to Garnder if you consider for a moment that the sextant was broken, lost, or otherwise non-functioning.  Even using your finger strected at arms-length is a very crude way of measuring one degree of angular distance.  If I recall correctly the radio transmission that had the lat long coordinate was within 20-30 miles of Gardner.  Reasonable accuracy if all you have is your finger!  Not trying to be funny, but rather morbidly realistic given undetermined circumstances.   ???
This is news to me! Can you point us to that transmission?

gl


http://news.google.com/newspapers?id=pVIfAAAAIBAJ&sjid=J9IEAAAAIBAJ&pg=2178%2C945762 (http://news.google.com/newspapers?id=pVIfAAAAIBAJ&sjid=J9IEAAAAIBAJ&pg=2178%2C945762)
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Gary LaPook on December 15, 2011, 07:08:58 PM

Gary
What bothers me is: If they measured their latitude and found it to be 4degrees41minutes S why wouldn't they just transmit it as such?  Why go thru the trouble of converting it to 281 miles N?


One of the radio transmission did point out the lat long of their locaiton.  This discussion is focused on the 281 transmision for some reason.  The transmision that did identify the lat long was remarkbly close to Garnder if you consider for a moment that the sextant was broken, lost, or otherwise non-functioning.  Even using your finger strected at arms-length is a very crude way of measuring one degree of angular distance.  If I recall correctly the radio transmission that had the lat long coordinate was within 20-30 miles of Gardner.  Reasonable accuracy if all you have is your finger!  Not trying to be funny, but rather morbidly realistic given undetermined circumstances.   ???
This is news to me! Can you point us to that transmission?

gl


http://news.google.com/newspapers?id=pVIfAAAAIBAJ&sjid=J9IEAAAAIBAJ&pg=2178%2C945762 (http://news.google.com/newspapers?id=pVIfAAAAIBAJ&sjid=J9IEAAAAIBAJ&pg=2178%2C945762)
  • The lattitude was within 20 miles.  Not bad measuring angular distances if all you have is your finger.
  • The longitude was within 90 miles.  Not bad either considering the timing errors introduced for calculating longitude if all you have is a wristwatch, the sun, and a horizon.
Well that's interesting. Of course that position is a whole lot closer to Hull island than it is to Gardner. Is this included in TIGHAR's list of all radio messages?

gl
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Bruce Thomas on December 15, 2011, 07:36:16 PM

Well that's interesting. Of course that position is a whole lot closer to Hull island then it is to Gardner. Is this included in TIGHAR's list of all radio messages?

gl
Yes, it is included in The Post Loss Radio Signal Catalog (http://tighar.org/Projects/Earhart/Archives/Research/ResearchPapers/Brandenburg/signalcatalog.html) as entry 173–80540HS (http://tighar.org/Projects/Earhart/Archives/Research/ResearchPapers/Brandenburg/signalcatalog5.html#ID80540HS), and listed as "Not Credible."
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Erik on December 15, 2011, 07:48:37 PM
Well that's interesting. Of course that position is a whole lot closer to Hull island then it is to Gardner. Is this included in TIGHAR's list of all radio messages?

gl

Incidently, McKean is also a candidate at about 100 miles away.  Carondelet Reef is nearly just as close as Hull.  Which might answer this topic's question of "Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?".  A possible answer regardless of the credibility of the radio message; because they didn't have enough accuracy to confidently identify which island they were on, even though they may have been pretty sure, they intentionally didn't want to send the wrong information.

(http://farm8.staticflickr.com/7005/6518820535_4d6b5603ef_b.jpg)
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Ric Gillespie on December 15, 2011, 08:09:07 PM

Gary
What bothers me is: If they measured their latitude and found it to be 4degrees41minutes S why wouldn't they just transmit it as such?  Why go thru the trouble of converting it to 281 miles N?
I already pointed that out.

Great minds running on the same tracks.

gl

If you didn't know Morse code and were trying to get a message out in Morse by depressing the push-to-talk button on a mic, which would want to send - "4degrees41minutes S" or "281"?
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Harry Howe, Jr. on December 15, 2011, 09:12:08 PM

Ric
Of course!  DUH, forehead slap.
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Gary LaPook on December 15, 2011, 09:48:01 PM

Ric
Of course!  DUH, forehead slap.
I don't know,
....-   ....-  .----  ...

four four one S
looks pretty easy to me.

..---   ---..   .---- 

two eight one

Oh that is much easier, you save three dots.

But 281 what? from home, from Howland, from the north pole, from California, from the Equator, north or south? Lots of uncertainty unless you add a lot to the message.

There is no ambiguity with just  "four four one S" since 44° 01' south is impossibly far away, more than 3,000 miles from Howland.
Let's see.
KHAQQ 4 41 S
KHAQQ 4 41 S
KHAQQ 4 41 S
KHAQQ 4 41 S
KHAQQ 4 41 S
KHAQQ 4 41 S
Do you think anyone would have trouble figuring this out?



gl
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Gary LaPook on December 15, 2011, 11:42:01 PM


 From GL:  'The flying industry, from before Noonan's time until quite lately, had a practice of carrying only one octant on a plane so this tends to prove that Noonan did not carry two sextants on the Earhart flight.'
 
It wasn't cut and dried.  For example, the B-47 did carry two sextants.  One used by the Navigator-Bombarier in the nose, the other by the copilot in the rear tandem seat behind the pilot.
By the way, the Luke Field inventory did list two drift sights.  The Pelorus drift sight is the one we see in the picture by the nav table (picture below).  The D-270 speed and drift indicator listed  may be the Pioneer drift sight that is described in the New York Herald Tribune article quoted in My Courageous Sister, but I have not seen a picture or description of it.
 
107
1
Ea.Speed & drift indicator, type D-270, with handbook
122
1
Pelorus drift sight, MK II B with extra base
(http://tighar.org/aw/mediawiki/images/thumb/3/38/MK_IIB_Pelorus_Drift_Sight.jpg/80px-MK_IIB_Pelorus_Drift_Sight.jpg)
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
1. What do you think was the name of the company that manufactured the MK II drift meter?
I'll give you a hint, it starts with "P" and ends with "r."

I wrote before that there was a provision for mounting the drift meter in the opened doorway, I have now found the source for that. On the second page of the New York Harold Tribune, March 7, 1937 newspaper article that is published on page 192 of Morrissey's book states:

"An arrangment has been devised to open the cabin door about four inches where it is held rigidly in place. A Pioneer drift indicator is mounted for use looking down through this aperture to check wind drift on the earth or sea below. For this work flares are used at night over water, smoke bombs in daylight."

See the top of the first column on the last page of the article here:

http://www.fer3.com/arc/img/110700.morrissey,%20drift.pdf

http://www.fer3.com/arc/img/110700.double%20drift,%20ho%20216,%201941.pdf


I have attached three photos of my Mk II.
------------------------------------
2, The D-270 is not a drift meter, it is a circular computer similar to an E-6B or the Jensen which is used to calculate the winds from the drift angles measured with the MK II.

----------------------------------------
3. Late models of the B-47 had a mount in the navigator's compartment for mounting the Kollsman Periscopic Sextant. Early models did not so in those planes the navigator used either the MA-1 or the MA-2 hand held sextant. He climbed the stairs on the left side of the cockpit, stood in the cockpit and took his observations through the cockpit canopy. So, only one sextant at a time was carried in the B-47, either a Kollsman periscopic or an MA-1 or an MA-2. I have a attached a photo showing all three, the MA-1 is on the left, MA-2 in the center and the Periscopic on the right. They are all made by Kollsman and have basically the same mechanism. The MA-2 and the periscopic use a bubble horizon while the MA-1 uses a pendulous mirror.

gl
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Gary LaPook on December 16, 2011, 12:43:02 AM
Specifically what navigational equipment do you think he would be unable to carry in the Electra?


If it were me, I think I'd pack a preventer along - and FN would have realized better than I that one drop to the deck and an instrument is questionable at the very least.  Isn't that how Rickenbacker got in trouble in a B-17 once?  I don't think NR16020 or AE would have known the difference, or cared.

LTM -
We pilots would like to have two of everything but, in spite of this desire, most planes get by with only one engine, one compass, one altimeter, etc. So Noonan with one drift meter and  one octant is certainly within normal bounds.

gl
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Thom Boughton on December 16, 2011, 12:54:34 AM
Did you mean Ebbco?


No






Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Gary LaPook on December 16, 2011, 01:03:06 AM
Gary,

Please take this as a compliment.  If I ever commit a crime I'm hiring you as my lawyer. I'm confident you would find a reason to prove I wasn't even at the scene.

To Jeff's latest post....  In the case of a very long trip would you not take a second sextant anyway as a backup?  Your point about it likely being an FN habit is likely bang on. Navigation was FN's career. In fact on a clipper he probably needed the "preventer" less than he needed it on the global trip with AE.
As I said, there is no evidence that Noonan carried a second sextant on the Earhart flight, no witnesses, no documents and no photographs. No marine sextant is listed on the Luke field inventory. Noonan's letter would not be admissible evidence in a court of law to prove that a second sextant was carried on the Earhart flight because it is too remote in time and the circumstances are too different. In fact, the letter itself shows the circumstances are not the same, as Noonan wrote "Due to the spacious chart room and large chart table aboard the Clipper, the navigation equipment need not be so severely limited as in smaller planes..." and no one can dispute that the Electra is a "smaller plane" compared to the S-42. And note, Noonan did NOT say in the letter, "I always carry a marine sextant as a 'preventer.'" And Noonan made no mention of a marine sextant in his article published a year later (https://sites.google.com/site/fredienoonan/resources/noonan-article/Noonan1936article.pdf?attredirects=0). (BTW, as to Noonan's experience at sea, ships commonly carried only one sextant.) (Although there is such a thing as "habit evidence," this one letter comes nowhere close to the requirements to prove an action based on a "habit.")
Could they have crammed in an additional sextant, probably, but looking at all the things that Earhart removed from the plane, including even papers and her Colt pistol, a second sextant would seem pretty low on Earhart's priority list. We pilots want two of everything, two engines, two spark plugs in each cylinder, two magnetos on each engine, two fuel pumps, two navcoms, two GPSs, etc., but there is a limit. How about two life rafts, two parachutes for each person, two coffee pots, two "potties?"
By 1937 the Pioneer octant had been perfected and was carried in thousands of Air Force and Navy planes, virtually unchanged, through the end of WW2. Bubble octants are extremely simple and reliable instruments. Bubble octants were used on trans-oceanic airline flights through the 1970's and commonly on Air Force planes until less than ten years ago, (I believe that there are still some Air Force planes with them.) In all of these uses, only ONE octant was carried in each airplane, no "preventer" in B-17s, no "preventer" in Boeing 707s, no "preventer" in B-47s, no "preventer" in C-130s, and no "preventer" in B-52s, and none of these planes were limited by space and weight constraints like the Electra. No second octant was carried in any of these planes because they are so simple and reliable.
So, like I said, there is no evidence to prove that a marine sextant was carried on the Electra, the burden of proof is on those who make that claim.

gl

Are you saying that if FN lost, misplaced, broke or had his primary sextant stolen then he would have been able to get it replaced easily anywhere on the world trip?  Are you also saying that unless it was recorded somewhere in evidence then he couldn't possibly have had it with him?  And aren't all the aircraft you list as having "no preventer" loaded up with modern, electronic nav equipment that have backup systems?  Doesn't that mean the bubble octant in those aircraft is the backup to the backup?  Whereas for FN it was his primary method of navigation?
Please excuse my ignorance of aeronautics and navigation practices.
As to whether celestial was simply a backup to a backup in modern times, here is a link to information about a book about B-52 navigators in the 60's and 70's written by the president of the Air Force Navigators Association. The book is Flying From the Black Hole (http://www.fer3.com/arc/m2.aspx?i=114086)and I recommend it. This review should be enough to answer your question. Here are parts of it:

------------------------------------------------------
About midway through the course, celestial with an MA-2 sextant replaced
radar as the primary fix technique. "Becoming proficient in night and
day celestial was at the heart of navigator school;
once successfully
accomplished, the student was on the home stretch. For most men, the
celestial phases were the most satisfying part of their entire training
— deliciously elemental disciplines that relied almost wholly on an
individual's wits for success."


Their flying classroom was the T-29, a military version of a twin piston
engine airliner. It had 14 work stations, each with a table, instrument
panel, and radar scope. Students shared five periscopic driftmeters and
four astrodomes. Three or four instructors supervised. The work
environment was difficult: "constant and very fatiguing engine and
slipstream noise, bumpy air, poor cabin lighting, student congestion in
the aisles upsetting tight shooting schedules, balky observation dome
safety harnesses
making one even more late for the precomputed shot that
couldn't wait, and the inevitable, pitiless instructor hovering over a
shoulder -- red pencil at the ready."
[The reason for the safety harness was to keep the navigator from being blown out of the pressureized plane if the dome failed as had happened several times.]

Although B-52s carried the usual radio navigation equipment, it wasn't
used much. SAC's assumption was that in the event of nuclear war all
U.S. and Soviet stations would be down, so only celestial and radar
would be usable for fixes
. It was the EWO (electronic warfare officer)
who actually took the sextant shots. He had initially qualified as a
navigator, wasn't busy during the celestial legs of the mission, and his
station was closer to the sextant port on the B-52's upper deck. The nav
would give him the precomputed azimuth and altitude of the body, then
reduce the sight. It did seem a little unfair that he did the hard work
while the EWO got the fun part of the job.



gl
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Thom Boughton on December 16, 2011, 01:10:46 AM
My only point is that a sun shot from Gardner with a Brandis sextant might reasonably result in an estimate of 281 nm from the equator.

Ric....

Please don't misunderstand....I truly am not meaning to contradict or argue you this point.  No doubt you're quite right.

I guess what I am saying is that, when the dust settles on the matter, isn't 279 miles really just as accurate as 281?  I suspect that either is attained depending upon how you interpolate a sighting which lies between two graduations.  And, in the grand scheme of things, are they not also equally as accurate (as the difference between them ...2nm... is less than the width of the island.)  Therefore, either would just as accurately describe the location of Gardner...just possibly different ends of it.

Just seems as though what we are discussing is a point only barely above the noise level....or possibly not even above.

(Again, mine is not a Brandis....so I fear I may be mixing apples and oranges here.)



....tb
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Gary LaPook on December 16, 2011, 02:20:14 AM

By 1937 the Pioneer octant had been perfected and was carried in thousands of Air Force and Navy planes, virtually unchanged, through the end of WW2. Bubble octants are extremely simple and reliable instruments. Bubble octants were used on trans-oceanic airline flights through the 1970's and commonly on Air Force planes until less than ten years ago, (I believe that there are still some Air Force planes with them.) In all of these uses, only ONE octant was carried in each airplane, no "preventer" in B-17s, no "preventer" in Boeing 707s, no "preventer" in B-47s, no "preventer" in C-130s, and no "preventer" in B-52s, and none of these planes were limited by space and weight constraints like the Electra. No second octant was carried in any of these planes because they are so simple and reliable.
So, like I said, there is no evidence to prove that a marine sextant was carried on the Electra, the burden of proof is on those who make that claim.

gl
We tend to focus on Earhart and Noonan as being very important people, but in the scheme of things, not so much. Compared to a B-52 on its way to Russia to drop some nukes in an effort to save millions of people in our country from the Russian nukes, Noonan and Earhart don't count at all. Yet, even in light of the importance of the B-52 missions, carrying only one sextant was good enough for Curtis LeMay and the Strategic Air Command (a notoriously hard-assed outfit.) If one sextant was good enough for LeMay then there is no reason to believe that one sextant was not good enough for Noonan.

gl
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Gary LaPook on December 16, 2011, 02:34:04 AM


Through WW2 celestial navigation was the only method of long range, oceanic navigation. Towards the very end of the war, LORAN-A came on line and was installed in some planes. For example, the B-17 carrying Rickenbacker (a very big VIP on a high priority mission) only had celestial navigation for navigation and had only one octant on board and this was five years after Earhart disappeared. 

gl
The LORAN station on Gardner did go on the air until November 15, 1944, the same for Baker and Canton, see Gardner LORAN station (http://www.loran-history.info/Gardner_Island/gardner.htm).


gl
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: John Ousterhout on December 16, 2011, 03:27:05 PM
I found the source for the argument that FN must have had a second instrument, a "sextant", back on page 3, #32, from GL: "... And that's with a marine sextant which is much more accurate than a bubble sextant."

In researching bubble Sextant accuracy I discovered GL's article on the very subject, in which he test flies a Navey A7, Mk3 Model 1 bubble sextant and proves that even in flight it is sufficiently accurate to find Catalina Island.(http://www.freelists.org/post/navlist/Test-flight-with-A7-bubble-sextant-to-investigate-accuracy-on-Noonans-navigation-on-Earhart-flight)

Gary's test and analysis convinces me that Fred's bubble sextant was accurate enough to locate their position precisely enough, especially standing still. There is no need to invoke a second instrument on board.

Fred's Octant was a Brandis/Pioneer aircraft octant, Bu.Aero Serial 12-36, and likely looked like a conventional marine sextant except for the 90degree limitation.  The resemblance assumes the similar vintage aircraft bubble octants are the same.  Perhaps Gary can tell us why he believes Fred's octant would look like his A7, and the difference in accuracy?
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Irvine John Donald on December 16, 2011, 07:02:16 PM
I'm really hoping that with Ric on hiatus that Gary seizes on this opportunity to try converting TIGHAR believers to the dark side. Then we can hear Gary's hypothesis on the mysterious disappearance of AE and FN. He can tell us all without the fear of Ric jumping all over him.  What an opportunity Gary!! 
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Gary LaPook on December 16, 2011, 07:17:22 PM
I'm really hoping that with Ric on hiatus that Gary seizes on this opportunity to try converting TIGHAR believers to the dark side. Then we can hear Gary's hypothesis on the mysterious disappearance of AE and FN. He can tell us all without the fear of Ric jumping all over him.  What an opportunity Gary!!
I might take you up on that.

gl
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Irvine John Donald on December 16, 2011, 07:34:02 PM
In all seriousness Gary, while I am a firm believer in the TIGHAR hypothesis, I would thoroughly enjoy "hearing" your ideas on what happened, as I also suspect many members of this forum would. Just don't play with us by starting it "Once upon a time ...".  ;D

It is my hope that you take my light hearted ribbing in this forum as just my attempt to keep this forum from getting too serious. While the topic is immensely interesting it's important to remember that life is too short to take ourselves too seriously. 
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Gary LaPook on December 16, 2011, 07:42:54 PM
I found the source for the argument that FN must have had a second instrument, a "sextant", back on page 3, #32, from GL: "... And that's with a marine sextant which is much more accurate than a bubble sextant."

In researching bubble Sextant accuracy I discovered GL's article on the very subject, in which he test flies a Navey A7, Mk3 Model 1 bubble sextant and proves that even in flight it is sufficiently accurate to find Catalina Island.(http://www.freelists.org/post/navlist/Test-flight-with-A7-bubble-sextant-to-investigate-accuracy-on-Noonans-navigation-on-Earhart-flight (http://www.freelists.org/post/navlist/Test-flight-with-A7-bubble-sextant-to-investigate-accuracy-on-Noonans-navigation-on-Earhart-flight))

Gary's test and analysis convinces me that Fred's bubble sextant was accurate enough to locate their position precisely enough, especially standing still. There is no need to invoke a second instrument on board.

Fred's Octant was a Brandis/Pioneer aircraft octant, Bu.Aero Serial 12-36, and likely looked like a conventional marine sextant except for the 90degree limitation.  The resemblance assumes the similar vintage aircraft bubble octants are the same.  Perhaps Gary can tell us why he believes Fred's octant would look like his A7, and the difference in accuracy?
I used an A-7 which was a further development of the Mk 5 and the Mk3 Pioneer octant. The main difference between mine and the one used by Noonan is the simple pencil marking averger that makes marks on the altitude adjustment knob with each sight. By lining up the center of these marks with the pencil after completing all the sights, you find the average (actually the median) of the altitude which you then use with the average time, half way between the first and last observations. Noonan had to write down the individual altitudes and figure the average. Same accuracy either way but easier and quicker with the A-7, two minutes versus three minutes for the sights plus about one and a half minutes for Noonan to figure the average, so using the A-7 is about twice as fast.
BTW, Brandis had nothing to do with the Pioneer octant, Brandis was supposedly only the manufacture of the sextant box supposedly found on Gardner.
I have attached a photo of the Pioneer octant, you can compare it with the photos of my A-7 (https://docs.google.com/viewer?a=v&pid=sites&srcid=ZGVmYXVsdGRvbWFpbnxmcmVkaWVub29uYW58Z3g6NzMyOWQwNjBmNWJkMzRlOA).
More information about these octants is here (https://sites.google.com/site/fredienoonan/topics/pionneer-octant).
My report of testing Noonan's single line of position landfall procedure is here (https://sites.google.com/site/fredienoonan/other-flight-navigation-information/recent-landfall-approach).
BTW, these octants have an advantage over all other octants and sextants in that the eyepiece can be swiveled to the side which allows sights to be taken off to the side and even over your shoulder making it much easier to use in confined places. I have even used it in coach seats on transatlantic airline flights, not much room to move around. Another advantage of these octants is that the index prism is at the front of the instrument so you can place it right up against a window and take very high altitude observations and this is not possible with other types of octants in which the index prism is located further back in the instrument.

gl
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Gary LaPook on December 16, 2011, 08:15:59 PM
Good points, John.



I'm not sure how one would miss Catalina, with or without an octant or sextant, but it is an interesting exercise that Gary shared (I'd like to hear more about the $100 hamburgers too  ;D).
LTM -
Actually buffalo burgers.
It's the best way to visit Catalina, cheaper and quicker than taking the boat across. You land at the airport and take a half hour bus ride into town for sightseeing. The airport is on a plateau 1500 feet above the sea with a cliff at each end of the runway, don't get low on approach or you end up making a smoking airplane shaped hole in the cliff.
If you take the boat over, you end up taking the same bus tour to see the buffalo and the other wildlife so flying in just lets you take the tour starting at the other end and you take the bus back to the airport with the other tourists.

gl
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: John Ousterhout on December 16, 2011, 09:41:01 PM
Gary - I'd appreciate some help finding documentation defining FN's octant/sextant.  The only documention I've found describes the one that Harry Manning loaned him as a "Pioneer...#12-36", presumably meaning Bureau of Aeronautics (Bu. Aero) serial 12-36.  This doesn't identify the Mark or Model number.  Is that information available?  The Pioneer model 342 (Mk.3, Mod.1) and model 206 (Mk.1, Mod.4) were both being sold in the early 30's, yet were physically quite different.  How do we know which model was on the flight?  You discussed this to some extent in your post #8 in "Questions for the Celestial Choir", but did not at that time have documentation.  Have you found any yet that you could share?
Note that it makes more sense to me that FN would prefer an A5-style instrument, similar to your A7, for taking shots out a nearly vertical Lockheed side window. A more traditional open-frame sextant or octant would not be handy shooting high elevations, with the possible exception of shots from the front seats, making the presence of such an instrument seem less likely to be useful.  On the other hand, you also mentioned that a marine sextant is more accurate than an aeronautical octant, so it might have been Fred's preference for critical navigation work.
Defining the instrument borrowed from Manning would help a little.
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Gary LaPook on December 17, 2011, 12:47:21 AM
Gary - I'd appreciate some help finding documentation defining FN's octant/sextant.  The only documention I've found describes the one that Harry Manning loaned him as a "Pioneer...#12-36", presumably meaning Bureau of Aeronautics (Bu. Aero) serial 12-36.  This doesn't identify the Mark or Model number.  Is that information available?  The Pioneer model 342 (Mk.3, Mod.1) and model 206 (Mk.1, Mod.4) were both being sold in the early 30's, yet were physically quite different.  How do we know which model was on the flight?  You discussed this to some extent in your post #8 in "Questions for the Celestial Choir", but did not at that time have documentation.  Have you found any yet that you could share?
Note that it makes more sense to me that FN would prefer an A5-style instrument, similar to your A7, for taking shots out a nearly vertical Lockheed side window. A more traditional open-frame sextant or octant would not be handy shooting high elevations, with the possible exception of shots from the front seats, making the presence of such an instrument seem less likely to be useful.  On the other hand, you also mentioned that a marine sextant is more accurate than an aeronautical octant, so it might have been Fred's preference for critical navigation work.
Defining the instrument borrowed from Manning would help a little.
We don't know exactly which Pioneer octant he had on the flight.
The marine sextant is more accurate and precise only when used on the sea but that accuracy is not available for observations taken in flight due to uncertainties about the height of the plane above sea level which affects the "dip" correction and the indefinateness of the horizon when seen from high altitude. That is why nobody used marine sextants in flight after the bubble octant had been perfected by the Pioneer instrument company. Only the early pioneers used marine sextants because better instruments were not available, such as Gago Coutinho and Chichester.

gl
gl
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Gary LaPook on December 17, 2011, 10:25:26 AM
Good points, John.



I'm not sure how one would miss Catalina, with or without an octant or sextant, but it is an interesting exercise that Gary shared (I'd like to hear more about the $100 hamburgers too  ;D).
LTM -
Actually buffalo burgers.
It's the best way to visit Catalina, cheaper and quicker than taking the boat across. You land at the airport and take a half hour bus ride into town for sightseeing. The airport is on a plateau 1500 feet above the sea with a cliff at each end of the runway, don't get low on approach or you end up making a smoking airplane shaped hole in the cliff.
If you take the boat over, you end up taking the same bus tour to see the buffalo and the other wildlife so flying in just lets you take the tour starting at the other end and you take the bus back to the airport with the other tourists.

gl

Very cool, Gary!  Sorry I forgot the distinction of 'buffalo burger' - I realized that but lapsed as I wrote it.

I'm envious - you have a wonderful area to fly about in to enjoy many attractions.  What you've described is one of the great things about the privilege of flying easier access to some real wonders out there in this world.  Catalina is a beautiful and kind of mysterious place in terms of aura, I think.

Maybe one day I can fly there in person too - quite a nice adventure right off the coast!  I'd have to 'do' the Bahamas to get anything llike the same offshore effect, passport and all - and that would be very 'different' anyway.

Thanks again for sharing that!
I've rolled my wheels on Andros, Abaco, Grand Bahama, Treasure Cay, New providence, Staniel Cay, Great Exuma, Long Island, Crooked Island and Great Inagua. Further along, South Caicos, Grand Turk, Puerto Rico, St. Thomas, Tortola, Dominican Republic and Jamaica.  Winter is a good time to go. ;)
My twin sister has been a Designated Pilot Examiner for about 20 years. She is constantly complaining to me about the quality of training the applicants of today are getting. Applicants come in all the time who do not meet the minimum experience requirements for the rating. She blames the instructors who sign them off without making sure about that and without having placed all the required endorsements in the logbook. She had to disapprove an applicant last week for a Commercial Certificate because his required 300 nautical mile "long cross country" was 10 NM short. His instructor had told him "it would be O.K." Today's applicants appear to just try to meet the minimum requirements and they often miss that mark. We used to fly because we enjoyed it and we used the planes to take us places. I remember when I was taking my flight test for the Commercial Certificate, the examiner said, "show me the 300 NM 'long cross-country' in your log book." I said, "How's Chicago to Kingston Jamaica, that good enough?"

gl

gl
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Irvine John Donald on December 17, 2011, 10:52:22 AM
Interesting comments Gary. I have a good friend who flies Airbus for Air Canada. He says lots of the new guys seem to see it as a job. He says he still gets a huge kick out of the flying aspect of the job himself and thats what helps him put up with all the paperwork, policy and procedures.
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Gary LaPook on December 18, 2011, 02:51:51 AM


Through WW2 celestial navigation was the only method of long range, oceanic navigation. Towards the very end of the war, LORAN-A came on line and was installed in some planes. For example, the B-17 carrying Rickenbacker (a very big VIP on a high priority mission) only had celestial navigation for navigation and had only one octant on board and this was five years after Earhart disappeared. 

gl
The LORAN station on Gardner did go on the air until November 15, 1944, the same for Baker and Canton, see Gardner LORAN station (http://www.loran-history.info/Gardner_Island/gardner.htm).



I have attached the LORAN chart for the area near Howland showing the LORAN lines of position. If Noonan had had this equipment he could have set the equipment to receive on channel 2 and at pulse recurrence rate L3 (25 and 3/16 pulses per second) and interpolating between the lines for 2L3 1450 and 1500 find the time delay for Howland to be 1460 microseconds. Doing the same for the 2L0 chain he would have found 3250 microseconds delay and could have easily found Howland. Unfortunately, the LORAN stations were set up to support our efforts in WW2 and weren't available until 1944 and they were removed in 1946.

BTW, I was "the first kid on my block" to have LORAN in a plane. In the early 80's they did not have LORAN-C units available for planes so I bought a Micrologic boat unit, it was as big as a breadbox. I duct taped it on top of the instrument panel and ran a wire out the door tied to the VOR antenna on the tail to act as the antenna and it worked real good.

gl
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Irvine John Donald on December 18, 2011, 09:16:30 AM
Hi Gary. Carrying on from Jeff's post....  Are you a "gadget guy" too?  Latest phone, tablet, electronics in general or just for flying?  I got a great "visual" in my head of this plane with a "breadbox" taped to the top of the instrument panel flying down the runway with this single pair of eyes desperately peering around the box with one hand twiddling with the knobs. Great fun!
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Gary LaPook on December 18, 2011, 12:07:58 PM
We still have an old Lowrance set on our trawler.  I've thought at times recently that it would make a fair anchor, but it was great in its day!
Well, that's all you can use it for now since the Coast Guard shut down the LORAN C system this year.

gl
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Gary LaPook on December 18, 2011, 11:14:10 PM
Good points, John.

One of the problems with Gary's arguments is... that they are just arguments.  We can only have an 'opinion' based on what we can observe.  I think you have shared some very important observations that reinforce my own belief that sorting out latitude at Gardner was not that mean a challenge for FN from the ground.

I'm not sure how one would miss Catalina, with or without an octant or sextant, but it is an interesting exercise that Gary shared (I'd like to hear more about the $100 hamburgers too  ;D).  And yes, it does tend to underscore an important point by which we might learn much about FN's equipment and habits.

I suspect FN would have had no problem dialing in his handy-dandy gear of choice, even with interpolations if necessary, to get a read.  Time and firm ground would have been on his - or even AE's - side by the time stranded on Gardner.

Even AE?  Not out of the question.  She may have been a scatter-brain in many ways, but I don't think she even approached stupid.  She had to have had some decent grasp of spatial orientation with the globe, and desperation is a mighty lever.  Time can a hearty bowl of oats, too, when you are waiting desparately for rescue.

LTM -
If Noonan was on Gardner with any kind of a sextant he would have had no trouble at all in determining his latitude at Noon. But not a chance in the world that Earhart would have been able to do the calculation necessary to do the same based on her complete disinterest in the things that directly affected her duties on the flight it is highly unlikely that she took any interest in what Noonan was doing. She would have had to have Noonan teach her about it and that seems unlikely. How many of you pilots reading this know how to operate a sextant, read a Nautical Almanac and do the noon sight computation? It is not normal knowledge for pilots.
But how accurate would Noonan's latitude have to be in order to guide rescuers to him? Gardner is the only island at a latitude between 4° 39.3' S and 4° 41.8' S. The closest island in latitude is Hull and the southern end of it is 4° 32.7' S, 6.6' north of the northern shore of Gardner. So if Noonan's latitude was 4° 36.0' S or greater then the only island that it could refer to is Gardner. He could be off by 3.3' to the north and quite a bit more to the south without creating any ambiguity. Even if he computed a latitude in the 4° 30' range it would still limit the search to just two islands, Gardner and Hull.

gl

Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Gary LaPook on December 19, 2011, 12:56:44 AM
We pilots would like to have two of everything but, in spite of this desire, most planes get by with only one engine, one compass, one altimeter, etc. So Noonan with one drift meter and  one octant is certainly within normal bounds.

gl

Maybe so, Gary.  But we're not in FN's shoes, and he'd certainly done otherwise on at least one other occasion, regardless of how you might see it.

The circumstances of flying the Pacific with AE may easily have prompted the same caution in FN that led him to carry a "preventer" on at least one previous occasion. 

No amount of argument from me or you can prove what he did aboard NR16020. 

We do have one record of FN having carried a "preventer" in a certain circumstance once before. 

He apparently also thought enough of that detail to not only mention it in a personal letter to a colleague, but to state it in a Pan Am memo.
I just re-read Noonan's April 29, 1935 memo to Pan Am  and I didn't see any mention of a preventer, can you point it out?
Quote

I am not aware of any other record where FN stating that he did otherwise, on any occasion.  Which proves nothing about the AE flight. 

But it does tell us something about what may have been important to FN, at least at a point in history that is recorded, regardless of what another might find important or rational. 

Now, if there were a record of FN having said something like:

"I later found the carriage of a 'preventer' to be a waste of time, space and weight and elected to go without it",
He did say that all sights were taken with the bubble octant.
Quote

- then we'd have an equally compelling record about FN deviating from something he previously had bothered to point out, wouldn't we? 

That would be far more than speculating about what you or I might do, if we were FN, as we see it today.

I guess the probabities are that we'll never know what he did for certain.  I guess we can also draw our own conclusions about what we think he probably did, too.

LTM -
If you guys want to believe that they landed on Gardner you will have to do it based on evidence other than the sextant box. To get the sextant box to Gardner you first have to get it on the plane and you have no evidence for that except a two year old letter talking about what Noonan did when he was employed by Pan Am. My first job was in a machine shop and there was a drill press there. I worked on the drill press but when I quit they didn't let me take the drill press home with me. If you want to now prove that I do have a drill press then produce an invoice from Sears or a photo of me with a drill press in my home or at least a witness statement saying they saw me using a drill press at home. You can't, so it is completely unjustified to make the leap that I have a drill press just because I used to work on one at my job. Even if I haven't made a statement that "I don't have a drill press" you can't make the absence of such a statement proof that I do have a drill press as you have done above where you point out that there is no statement from Noonan saying he didn't have a marine sextant, that he found them to be a waste of time.  You are turning logic on its head.

All you have is Noonan's letter about a flight for his employer, Pan Am, in his employer's airplane, using his employer's equipment, two years prior to the Earhart flight on which he says a marine sextant was carried. (I guess you believe that everything on the plane belonged to Pan Am with only one exception, the marine sextant, does that make any sense?) This statement is just like my statement that there was a drill press in the machine shop where I was employed. You do not have any photos or witness statement showing a marine sextant carried on the Electra anywhere around the world. There was no marine sextant mentioned in the Luke Field Inventory. 

Before you can place the sextant box in Earhart's plane you first must prove that Noonan had a marine sextant in 1937.
Noonan's letter said that "two sextants were carried" it didn't say "I brought my own sextant" on the flight, (see attached.)
What makes you think he could take the marine sextant home with him when he left the employ of Pan Am? Do you think he took the bubble octant home too? What about the fire extinguisher? What about the chart table? What about the left engine, did Pan Am let him take that home? Wait, we know that Pan Am didn't let him take the bubble octant home because they had to scrounge one up for the Earhart flight. Where did they go to scrounge up a marine sextant? If you believe that he had a marine sextant from his days on the sea then you must take into account that he had been working for Pan Am since 1930, seven years prior to the Earhart flight so didn't need a marine sextant to navigate his ship. And do you have any evidence that he even had a marine sextant of his own when he was a sailor? Even if he did have one when he was at sea it is certainly reasonable that he would have sold the valuable instrument in the intervening seven years since he didn't need one at Pan Am.

Marine sextants are expensive now and they were expensive then, see: http://www.celestaire.com/Cassens-Plath/View-all-products.html
Some have claimed that the marine sextant was modified for use aloft by adding a bubble horizon attachment although there is nothing in Noonan's letter or any other evidence that was the case. Today, a bubble attachment for a marine sextant costs $950 in addition to the $1795 cost of just the sextant and they weren't cheaper in 1937, see prior link. Do you think that Pan Am would allow Noonan to take home such a valuable piece of equipment when he quit, or was fired? If Noonan bought one after he left Pan Am then where did Noonan get the money to buy one since he was unemployed for some time prior to hooking up with Earhart? A couple of days ago I posted that Earhart had a Colt Pistol, Ric demanded "documentation." Where is your "documentation" showing Noonan owning a marine sextant in 1937? Do you have a bill of sale? A photo of him with his marine sextant at home in 1937? A statement from any witness saying that they saw him with a marine sextant at home in 1937? Or even a statement that Noonan had told them that he owned a marine sextant in 1937? I'll answer that for you, no you don't.

What we do have is an interview with Helen Day, a friend of Noonans. In sum, Day recalled that she was at Noonan's room in Miami, helping the party gather their equipment and stuff for the flight. Helen said she helped carry down some of their stuff, including a pith helmet, thermos, a machete (in case they were forced down in a jungle, ."Someone carried AEs small suitcase......Fred carried only his octant". Nobody was carrying a "preventer" out to the plane for the departure from Miami. Noonan obviously did not leave the octant in the plane when they were in Miami and he certainly would not have left the equally valuable marine sextant in the plane either. Day's statement is direct evidence that they did not load a marine sextant aboard the Electra and you have no evidence in any form to contradict that statement nor any evidence that Noonan even owned a marine sextant in 1937.

So believe all you want that they landed on Gardner but do it without relying on the sextant box.

gl
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Ricker H Jones on December 19, 2011, 09:47:41 AM
 
See  TIGHAR TRACKS (http://tighar.org/Publications/TTracks/14_1/The_Noonan_Project.html),Vol. 14, No. 1
Letter accompanying gift of sextant to the National Museum of Naval Aviation in Pensacola, FL
"6 June 1968
TO WHOM IT MAY CONCERN:
I, hereby, certify that the accompanying
Navigation Sextant was the property of Mr. Frederick J Noonan,
who was copilot-navigator on the World flight with Amelia Aerhardt [sic]
when their plane was lost in the Pacific Ocean.
This instrument was borrowed by the under-
signed who at that time was studying navigation under Mr. Noonan
in preparing for service in the Pacific Division of Pan American
Airways, for use in practice praticle [sic] navigation. Identification
marks are not in evidence, however, the undersigned hereby certifies
as to the authenticity of the above remarks.

W. A. Cluthe
Retired Captain, Pan American
World Airways.
Ex. C.A.P. USN, Number 12.
4312 Winding Way,
Mobile, Alabama-36609"
 
 
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Irvine John Donald on December 19, 2011, 10:20:16 AM
That's interesting Ricker.  Doesn't this suggest that Noonan did not likely have "his" sextant with him if he had loaned it to someone?  We shouldn't now make the suggestion that FN owned lots of these, enough so he could loan them out to people and still have his own for the trip.  This makes the borrowing of the Octant more credible. 

Of course there is the credibility of this gift due to no identifying marks.  Does anyone know if the donor was ever interviewed?  Is there any official record of the donor being a pupil of FN?
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Harry Howe, Jr. on December 19, 2011, 12:45:34 PM

Gary
I haven't seen the Helen Day letter but, accepting your summary, her statement is "evidence" only that she didn't carry a sextant (octant) onto the plane nor did she see anyone else except FN carrying a sextant (octant) to the plane.  She didn't know what was already on the plane or what others might have carried when not in her eyesight.
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Irvine John Donald on December 19, 2011, 01:11:43 PM
We pilots would like to have two of everything but, in spite of this desire, most planes get by with only one engine, one compass, one altimeter, etc. So Noonan with one drift meter and  one octant is certainly within normal bounds.

gl

Maybe so, Gary.  But we're not in FN's shoes, and he'd certainly done otherwise on at least one other occasion, regardless of how you might see it.

The circumstances of flying the Pacific with AE may easily have prompted the same caution in FN that led him to carry a "preventer" on at least one previous occasion. 

No amount of argument from me or you can prove what he did aboard NR16020. 

We do have one record of FN having carried a "preventer" in a certain circumstance once before. 

He apparently also thought enough of that detail to not only mention it in a personal letter to a colleague, but to state it in a Pan Am memo.
I just re-read Noonan's April 29, 1935 memo to Pan Am  and I didn't see any mention of a preventer, can you point it out?
Quote

I am not aware of any other record where FN stating that he did otherwise, on any occasion.  Which proves nothing about the AE flight. 

But it does tell us something about what may have been important to FN, at least at a point in history that is recorded, regardless of what another might find important or rational. 

Now, if there were a record of FN having said something like:

"I later found the carriage of a 'preventer' to be a waste of time, space and weight and elected to go without it",
He did say that all sights were taken with the bubble octant.
Quote

- then we'd have an equally compelling record about FN deviating from something he previously had bothered to point out, wouldn't we? 

That would be far more than speculating about what you or I might do, if we were FN, as we see it today.

I guess the probabities are that we'll never know what he did for certain.  I guess we can also draw our own conclusions about what we think he probably did, too.

LTM -
If you guys want to believe that they landed on Gardner you will have to do it based on evidence other than the sextant box. To get the sextant box to Gardner you first have to get it on the plane and you have no evidence for that except a two year old letter talking about what Noonan did when he was employed by Pan Am. My first job was in a machine shop and there was a drill press there. I worked on the drill press but when I quit they didn't let me take the drill press home with me. If you want to now prove that I do have a drill press then produce an invoice from Sears or a photo of me with a drill press in my home or at least a witness statement saying they saw me using a drill press at home. You can't, so it is completely unjustified to make the leap that I have a drill press just because I used to work on one at my job. Even if I haven't made a statement that "I don't have drill press" you can't make the absence of such a statement proof that I do have a drill press as you have done above where you point out that there is no statement from Noonan saying he didn't have a marine sextant, that he found them to be a waste of time.  You are turning logic on its head.

All you have is Noonan's letter about a flight for his employer, Pan Am, in his employer airplane, using his employer's equipment, two years prior to the Earhart flight on which he says a marine sextant was carried. (I guess you believe that everything on the plane belonged to Pan Am with only one exception, the marine sextant, does that make any sense?) This statement is just like my statement that I there was a drill press in the machine shop where I was employed. You do not have any photos or witness statement showing a marine sextant carried on the Electra anywhere around the world. There was no marine sextant mentioned in the Luke Field Inventory. 

Before you can place the sextant box in Earhart's plane you first must prove that Noonan had a marine sextant in 1937.
Noonan's letter said that "two sextants were carried" it didn't say "I brought my own sextant" on the flight, (see attached.)
What makes you think he could take the marine sextant home with him when he left the employ of Pan Am? Do you think he took the bubble octant home too? What about the fire extinguisher? What about the chart table? What about the left engine, did Pan Am let him take that home? Wait, we know that Pan Am didn't let him take the bubble octant home because they had to scrounge one up for the Earhart flight. Where did they go to scrounge up a marine sextant? If you believe that he had a marine sextant from his days on the sea then you must take into account that he had been working for Pan Am since 1930, seven years prior to the Earhart flight so didn't need a marine sextant to navigate his ship. And do you have any evidence that he even had a marine sextant of his own when he was a sailor? Even if he did have one when he was at sea it is certainly reasonable that he would have sold the valuable instrument in the intervening seven years since he didn't need one at Pan Am.

Marine sextants are expensive now and they were expensive then, see: http://www.celestaire.com/Cassens-Plath/View-all-products.html
Some have claimed that the marine sextant was modified for use aloft by adding a bubble horizon attachment although there is nothing in Noonan's letter or any other evidence that was the case. Today, a bubble attachment for a marine sextant costs $950 in addition to the $1795 cost of just the sextant and they weren't cheaper in 1937, see prior link. Do you think that Pan Am would allow Noonan to take home such a valuable piece of equipment when he quit, or was fired? If Noonan bought one after he left Pan Am then where did Noonan get the money to buy one since he was unemployed for some time prior to hooking up with Earhart? A couple of days ago I posted that Earhart had a Colt Pistol, Ric demanded "documentation." Where is your "documentation" showing Noonan owning a marine sextant in 1937? Do you have a bill of sale? A photo of him with his marine sextant at home in 1937? A statement from any witness saying that they saw him with a marine sextant at home in 1937? Or even a statement that Noonan had told them that he owned a marine sextant in 1937? I'll answer that for you, no you don't.

What we do have is an interview with Helen Day, a friend of Noonans. In sum, Day recalled that she was at Noonan's room in Miami, helping the party gather their equipment and stuff for the flight. Helen said she helped carry down some of their stuff, including a pith helmet, thermos, a machete (in case they were forced down in a jungle, ."Someone carried AEs small suitcase......Fred carried only his octant". Nobody was carrying a "preventer" out to the plane for the departure from Miami. Noonan obviously did not leave the octant in the plane when they were in Miami and he certainly would not have left the equally valuable marine sextant in the plane either. Day's statement is direct evidence that they did not load a marine sextant aboard the Electra and you have no evidence in any form to contradict that statement nor any evidence that Noonan even owned a marine sextant in 1937.

So believe all you want that they landed on Gardner but do it without relying on the sextant box.

gl

Gary,  The sextant box is one piece of a larger puzzle.  Is there any doubt in anyone's mind that FN had at least one octant or sextant on board from Lae to Howland?  There was a sextant box found on Gardner.  Is there any dispute of that fact?  If we, TIGHAR believers, could find a direct link between that box and FN then you have strong evidence that suggests FN was on Gardner.  Not absolute evidence because someone may ask if the native really found it there and not on another island and brought it to Gardner.  It would be likely that the crashed and sunk at sea theory would be in troublle unless people believed the empty wooden box broke free of the sunken wreck, floated to the surface and was found by natives.  But those theories are stretching the bounds of what "likely" happened given the other evidence we have.   I don't believe the TIGHAR hypothesis hinges on a single part of the theory but on the "collective" nature of the evidence as pulled together over the years.  Ric and TIGHAR have been adding to this "collective" over the years.  They have even done research on their some of the evidence only to determine they were wrong about it.  And you are still focusing on debunking TIGHAR and have not yet put your own hypothesis on this forum.  Make it a Christmas Present to all of us. 
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: John Ousterhout on December 19, 2011, 02:29:10 PM
Invoking the presence of a second sextant/octant on board the Electra weakens the argument for a Gardner landing.  The most likely “sextant” box to be found on the island that could be associated with Fred Noonan is the one he borrowed from Harry Manning (see http://tighar.org/wiki/File:Noonan_Octant_Receipt.jpg).  I think it safe to assume that FN took that particular octant on the Lae-Howland flight.  I’m trying to find out more about that box.  Inquiries to the Naval Observatory Records department regarding the box reported to have been found on Gardner haven’t turned up anything, so I’m trying a different approach, asking them what records of Manning’s instrument may be available, if any.  GL believes the instrument was an “A5” style instrument, which would be reasonable assumption for 1937.  However, we need to keep in mind that this is an assumption.  We also need to keep in mind another assumption – that the box that Harry Manning’s octant was in wouldn’t have been confused for a “sextant” box.  We know from existing examples of Octant boxes at the Smithsonian that some octants of the era used low-profile boxes typical of traditional marine sextants, and others used tall profile boxes.  Tall boxes were becoming the normal style for Aircraft Octants just before the year of the flight.   It is possible, if unlikely, that the box that Manning’s sextant was stored in was a low profile “sextant box” like the one found on Gardner.  If we discover that Manning’s box doesn’t fit the Gardner box description, then the source of the Gardner box will remain a mystery, and the TIGHAR hypothesis will not be supported by that approach.  If Manning’s box matches the Gardner box, then the case for AE/FN landing on Gardner is supported.
At this point we cannot say definitively what style of Octant box was on board the Electra.  We may be able to say what sort of box Harry Manning’s Octant had, if Naval Observatory records are available.  Some day we might even be able to say more about the box found on Gardner, if the numbers on it turn up in some record.
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Gary LaPook on December 19, 2011, 06:55:54 PM

See  TIGHAR TRACKS (http://tighar.org/Publications/TTracks/14_1/The_Noonan_Project.html),Vol. 14, No. 1
Letter accompanying gift of sextant to the National Museum of Naval Aviation in Pensacola, FL
"6 June 1968
TO WHOM IT MAY CONCERN:
I, hereby, certify that the accompanying
Navigation Sextant was the property of Mr. Frederick J Noonan,
who was copilot-navigator on the World flight with Amelia Aerhardt [sic]
when their plane was lost in the Pacific Ocean.
This instrument was borrowed by the under-
signed who at that time was studying navigation under Mr. Noonan
in preparing for service in the Pacific Division of Pan American
Airways, for use in practice praticle [sic] navigation. Identification
marks are not in evidence, however, the undersigned hereby certifies
as to the authenticity of the above remarks.

W. A. Cluthe
Retired Captain, Pan American
World Airways.
Ex. C.A.P. USN, Number 12.
4312 Winding Way,
Mobile, Alabama-36609"
Manning used a Bausch and Lomb octant, also known as the A-6, so there is a good chance that your photo of a possible sextant box is for this instrument. See attached photos and manual.

gl
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Irvine John Donald on December 19, 2011, 07:10:52 PM
Well said Jeff and John.  I like your approach on the Manning Sextant box John. Good approach. 

To your point Jeff, if I recall we were thinking that the sextant box might be evidence of a sextant on the island that might have been used by FN to do a star sight to locate their position. Lots of "mights". They also likely had a chart but the common thinking is the chart did not mention Gardner by name. Although recent postings in another thread that has pictures of AE and FN posing with their world trip mark does show the Phoenix island group on the chart.

As Gary has stated recently, sextants were quite valuable.  Would someone else have brought a sextant to the island and somehow the valuable sextant and it's specially designed protective case we're separated?  This isn't very likely. How many of the people who visited or inhabited Gardner would have reason to bring a sextant to the island?  Isn't it likely to be a very small number?  It's not likely anyone who stayed on the island would have a need for one.  It's not like the island moves. Your position isn't going to change. So possibly someone who may be transient or just visiting. Taking up on John's idea who could this person(s) be? 
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Gary LaPook on December 19, 2011, 08:34:13 PM
Well said Jeff and John.  I like your approach on the Manning Sextant box John. Good approach. 

To your point Jeff, if I recall we were thinking that the sextant box might be evidence of a sextant on the island that might have been used by FN to do a star sight to locate their position. Lots of "mights". They also likely had a chart but the common thinking is the chart did not mention Gardner by name. Although recent postings in another thread that has pictures of AE and FN posing with their world trip mark does show the Phoenix island group on the chart.

As Gary has stated recently, sextants were quite valuable.  Would someone else have brought a sextant to the island and somehow the valuable sextant and it's specially designed protective case we're separated?  This isn't very likely. How many of the people who visited or inhabited Gardner would have reason to bring a sextant to the island?  Isn't it likely to be a very small number?  It's not likely anyone who stayed on the island would have a need for one.  It's not like the island moves. Your position isn't going to change. So possibly someone who may be transient or just visiting. Taking up on John's idea who could this person(s) be?
______________________
Gee, I wonder whatever happened to the sextant carried on the Norwich City.

gl
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Gary LaPook on December 19, 2011, 08:48:50 PM

Gary
I haven't seen the Helen Day letter but, accepting your summary, her statement is "evidence" only that she didn't carry a sextant (octant) onto the plane nor did she see anyone else except FN carrying a sextant (octant) to the plane.  She didn't know what was already on the plane or what others might have carried when not in her eyesight.
Helen day was a good friend of Noonan's and lived in Miami. Helen and Noonan went out for dinner and, since she was the only one with a car, Noonan asked her to pick them up at the hotel and drive them to the airport in the morning. Helen went up to Noonan's room where he was gathering up equipment. Helen helped them "carry down their things-various items including pith helmets, thermos jugs, and a machete in case they were forced down in the jungle. Someone carried Amelia's small suitcase, which held five shirts, two pairs of slacks, a change of shoes, a light working coverall, a weightless raincoat, linen, and toilet articles. Fred carried only his octant." East To The Dawn, Susan Butler.
Seems like a pretty detailed report. She even remarked upon unremarkable items such as the clothing and the thermos jug, so why no mention of a more remarkable and unusual item, the second sextant? Oh, I see, because there was no second sextant.

gl
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Harry Howe, Jr. on December 19, 2011, 08:56:36 PM

Perhaps it was left locked up in the navigator's station in the locked Electra and FN carried his "preventer" on with him (the one Helen Day saw him carry).
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Daniel Paul Cotts on December 19, 2011, 09:34:34 PM
Here's an eBay listing for a manual for the B&L A-6 and A-8. Posted in case someone wants to buy it to see if the specs for the box are included.
BAUSCH & LOMB BUBBLE SEXTANT, MANUAL, A-6 & A-8 (http://www.ebay.com/itm/BAUSCH-LOMB-BUBBLE-SEXTANT-MANUAL-A-6-A-8-/370275999870?pt=LH_DefaultDomain_0&hash=item56362b607e)
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Irvine John Donald on December 19, 2011, 09:45:44 PM
Well said Jeff and John.  I like your approach on the Manning Sextant box John. Good approach. 

To your point Jeff, if I recall we were thinking that the sextant box might be evidence of a sextant on the island that might have been used by FN to do a star sight to locate their position. Lots of "mights". They also likely had a chart but the common thinking is the chart did not mention Gardner by name. Although recent postings in another thread that has pictures of AE and FN posing with their world trip mark does show the Phoenix island group on the chart.

As Gary has stated recently, sextants were quite valuable.  Would someone else have brought a sextant to the island and somehow the valuable sextant and it's specially designed protective case we're separated?  This isn't very likely. How many of the people who visited or inhabited Gardner would have reason to bring a sextant to the island?  Isn't it likely to be a very small number?  It's not likely anyone who stayed on the island would have a need for one.  It's not like the island moves. Your position isn't going to change. So possibly someone who may be transient or just visiting. Taking up on John's idea who could this person(s) be?
______________________
Gee, I wonder whatever happened to the sextant carried on the Norwich City.

gl

Gee, thanks Gary. That's a good lead to follow up on. Again we might find out what we can about this one and verify it was the sextant or eliminate it.
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Gary LaPook on December 19, 2011, 10:59:09 PM

Perhaps it was left locked up in the navigator's station in the locked Electra and FN carried his "preventer" on with him (the one Helen Day saw him carry).
Oh, I forgot about the ten ton safe they had in the plane for locking up valuables. I don't know about you, but I've had stuff stolen out of my locked plane. But if they had a safe in the plane then why did Noonan take any octant or sextant to his room?

gl
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Gary LaPook on December 20, 2011, 03:22:09 AM
Invoking the presence of a second sextant/octant on board the Electra weakens the argument for a Gardner landing.  The most likely “sextant” box to be found on the island that could be associated with Fred Noonan is the one he borrowed from Harry Manning (see http://tighar.org/wiki/File:Noonan_Octant_Receipt.jpg).  I think it safe to assume that FN took that particular octant on the Lae-Howland flight.  I’m trying to find out more about that box.  Inquiries to the Naval Observatory Records department regarding the box reported to have been found on Gardner haven’t turned up anything, so I’m trying a different approach, asking them what records of Manning’s instrument may be available, if any.  GL believes the instrument was an “A5” style instrument, which would be reasonable assumption for 1937.  However, we need to keep in mind that this is an assumption.  We also need to keep in mind another assumption – that the box that Harry Manning’s octant was in wouldn’t have been confused for a “sextant” box.  We know from existing examples of Octant boxes at the Smithsonian that some octants of the era used low-profile boxes typical of traditional marine sextants, and others used tall profile boxes.  Tall boxes were becoming the normal style for Aircraft Octants just before the year of the flight.   It is possible, if unlikely, that the box that Manning’s sextant was stored in was a low profile “sextant box” like the one found on Gardner.  If we discover that Manning’s box doesn’t fit the Gardner box description, then the source of the Gardner box will remain a mystery, and the TIGHAR hypothesis will not be supported by that approach.  If Manning’s box matches the Gardner box, then the case for AE/FN landing on Gardner is supported.
At this point we cannot say definitively what style of Octant box was on board the Electra.  We may be able to say what sort of box Harry Manning’s Octant had, if Naval Observatory records are available.  Some day we might even be able to say more about the box found on Gardner, if the numbers on it turn up in some record.
Are you talking about the box for the Pioneer 12-36 octant or the box for Manning's Bausch & Lomb octant? The Pioneer octant was developed in 1931 and I know it was used by Lindbergh in 1933 and it is the only bubble octant discussed in Dutton, 1934 ed. The photo of Lindbergh's octant shows that it had reached its final form and is virtually indistinguishable from the later models, Mk III, A-5 and A-7. The shape of the octant determines the shape of the box and the box for the Pioneer looks nothing like a box for a marine sextant.

gl
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Gary LaPook on December 20, 2011, 03:24:19 AM
Invoking the presence of a second sextant/octant on board the Electra weakens the argument for a Gardner landing.  The most likely “sextant” box to be found on the island that could be associated with Fred Noonan is the one he borrowed from Harry Manning (see http://tighar.org/wiki/File:Noonan_Octant_Receipt.jpg).  I think it safe to assume that FN took that particular octant on the Lae-Howland flight.  I’m trying to find out more about that box.  Inquiries to the Naval Observatory Records department regarding the box reported to have been found on Gardner haven’t turned up anything, so I’m trying a different approach, asking them what records of Manning’s instrument may be available, if any.  GL believes the instrument was an “A5” style instrument, which would be reasonable assumption for 1937.  However, we need to keep in mind that this is an assumption.  We also need to keep in mind another assumption – that the box that Harry Manning’s octant was in wouldn’t have been confused for a “sextant” box.  We know from existing examples of Octant boxes at the Smithsonian that some octants of the era used low-profile boxes typical of traditional marine sextants, and others used tall profile boxes.  Tall boxes were becoming the normal style for Aircraft Octants just before the year of the flight.   It is possible, if unlikely, that the box that Manning’s sextant was stored in was a low profile “sextant box” like the one found on Gardner.  If we discover that Manning’s box doesn’t fit the Gardner box description, then the source of the Gardner box will remain a mystery, and the TIGHAR hypothesis will not be supported by that approach.  If Manning’s box matches the Gardner box, then the case for AE/FN landing on Gardner is supported.
At this point we cannot say definitively what style of Octant box was on board the Electra.  We may be able to say what sort of box Harry Manning’s Octant had, if Naval Observatory records are available.  Some day we might even be able to say more about the box found on Gardner, if the numbers on it turn up in some record.
I thought that TIGHAR had claimed the the sextant box found on Gardner was for a Brandis sextant and that they have spent a great deal of time tracking numbers on Brandis sextant boxes.

gl
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: John Ousterhout on December 20, 2011, 06:47:18 AM
"...they have spent a great deal of time tracking numbers on Brandis sextant boxes."
Yes they have, but the specific numbers haven't turned up yet in any records.  We can consider the numbers to be valid identification, if we find the matching N.O. record.  The box description is vague, but we assume it was a low-profile box, typical of marine sextants, although the Smithsonian has some similar boxes that hold aircraft bubble sextants.  The Brandis identification is also an assumption.

This seems like an interesting enough subject (to me at least) so I started a new thread at http://tighar.org/smf/index.php/topic,554.0.html

Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Martin X. Moleski, SJ on December 20, 2011, 08:02:43 AM
I thought that TIGHAR had claimed the the sextant box found on Gardner was for a Brandis sextant and that they have spent a great deal of time tracking numbers on Brandis sextant boxes.

I think that TIGHAR's claims are more modest than you make them out to be.

The box found on Niku (http://tighar.org/wiki/Sextant_box) was identified as a "sextant box" by people who knew what sextant boxes looked like.

One of the examiners was Harold Gatty (http://tighar.org/wiki/Harold_Gatty), "Prince of Navigators," (http://h2g2.com/dna/h2g2/A10501543) who invented a bubble sextant.

The reasons to speculate that the box was a Brandis are:
TIGHAR hasn't found any other numbering system with pairs of numbers marked on sextant boxes using different techniques (inked and die-struck). 

Here's the really cool thing: if we could locate the list of numbers issued by the Naval Observatory, this line of reasoning could be supported by further evidence or demolished.  It is, in principle, a testable supposition.  Until the N.O. list is found (if it still exists), it remains an open question whether Noonan might be the source of the Niku box.
I believe that is a fairer statement of where things stand at present.


Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Irvine John Donald on December 20, 2011, 08:34:27 AM
Nicely stated and clarified Marty
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Gary LaPook on December 20, 2011, 11:00:01 AM
I thought that TIGHAR had claimed the the sextant box found on Gardner was for a Brandis sextant and that they have spent a great deal of time tracking numbers on Brandis sextant boxes.

I think that TIGHAR's claims are more modest than you make them out to be.

The box found on Niku (http://tighar.org/wiki/Sextant_box) was identified as a "sextant box" by people who knew what sextant boxes looked like.


The reasons to speculate that the box was a Brandis are:
  • the numbers on the Niku box fit a pattern found on extant Brandis boxes
  • bubble sights had been developed for Brandis sextants
  • a box with two numbers on it said to have come from Noonan is in a Florida museum
TIGHAR hasn't found any other numbering system with pairs of numbers marked on sextant boxes using different techniques (inked and die-struck). 


There were two different Brandis sextants adapted for use in flight. One was a standard marine sextant with a special Willson telescope that incorporated a bubble assembly. The second was entirely different, designed from the start for aircraft use. This sextant is different from almost every other sextant on earth in that the handle was placed so that it was held in the left hand while almost every other sextant on earth is held in the right hand. This special model also had a distinctly different box, one with a sliding cover instead of the normal hinged cover. To see one of these instruments scroll down to the last entry here: http://sextantbook.com/?s=brandis (http://sextantbook.com/?s=brandis)

The sextant at the Naval Museum in Pensacola formerly owned by Noonan is a Ludolph, not a Brandis.

Noonan said a "marine sextant" was carried as a preventer. He did not say a "marine sextant equipped with a bubble attachment" was carried as a preventer so there is no reason to believe that the sextant that he carried as a preventer two years earlier while working for Pan Am had such a bubble attachment. Also, there were other marine sextants that had bubble attachments and you still can buy bubble attachments, I posted a link to Celestaire before, Only $950.00. Therefore, there is no reason to believe that it was a Brandis if that is your only reason.

I have posted on a navigation website an excerpt from a book describing the development of these instruments, you can find it here (http://fer3.com/arc/imgx/sextants.pdf). The missing page 192 (http://fer3.com/arc/img/111880.img_4664.jpg) is here and page 193  (http://fer3.com/arc/img/111880.img_4663.jpg)is here.
gl
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Harry Howe, Jr. on December 20, 2011, 03:02:45 PM

Gary
I don't recall having said anything about a "ten ton safe" on the plane.  Perhaps you should look up the word "perhaps".  Actually , no, I haven't ever had anything stolen from my locked plane, but I concede that something like that might have happened to FN at some time and thus induced him not to leave a sextant (octant) on the locked plane.  On the other hand, who knows?  Perhaps when the equipment for the world flight was being purchased , presumably on the Purdue budget, a sextant was purchased and FN also took his own "poreventer" on board.  Again, who knows?
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Martin X. Moleski, SJ on December 20, 2011, 05:11:59 PM
The sextant at the Naval Museum in Pensacola formerly owned by Noonan is a Ludolph, not a Brandis.

Yes, that pretty much is what the Ameliapedia article (http://tighar.org/wiki/Sextant_box#The_Pensacola_Sextant_Box_.283547_and_173.29) says.

There are two numbers on the box formerly owned by Noonan (3547/173).  That's all I said about that box.  They are scrawled on it, not inked or die-stamped.  I didn't say it was a Brandis sextant or a Brandis box.

There are two numbers on the box found on Gardner.

Trying to figure out what the two numbers might mean led to the development of the tables on that page.

Neither the Pensacola numbers nor the Gardner numbers can be excluded on the basis of what we know so far. 

The true statement that the Pensacola sextant is a Ludolph is irrelevant to the point I was making.
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Gary LaPook on December 20, 2011, 07:41:01 PM
The sextant at the Naval Museum in Pensacola formerly owned by Noonan is a Ludolph, not a Brandis.

Yes, that pretty much is what the Ameliapedia article (http://tighar.org/wiki/Sextant_box#The_Pensacola_Sextant_Box_.283547_and_173.29) says.

There are two numbers on the box formerly owned by Noonan (3547/173).  That's all I said about that box.  They are scrawled on it, not inked or die-stamped.  I didn't say it was a Brandis sextant or a Brandis box.

There are two numbers on the box found on Gardner.

Trying to figure out what the two numbers might mean led to the development of the tables on that page.

Neither the Pensacola numbers nor the Gardner numbers can be excluded on the basis of what we know so far. 

The true statement that the Pensacola sextant is a Ludolph is irrelevant to the point I was making.
My point is that why are they looking for a Brandis sextant box when the type of sextant that we know Noonan had owned was a Ludolph? Based on that piece of information I would be researching Ludolph boxes on the assumption that Noonan was more likely to own another Ludolph instead of a completely different type, the Brandis. Just because some Brandis sextants were adapted for in flight use doesn't mean that Noonan would have gotten one of these. Noonan did not say there was a "marine sextant with a bubble attachment," he said simply "a marine sextant."
gl
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Martin X. Moleski, SJ on December 20, 2011, 08:35:00 PM
My point is that why are they looking for a Brandis sextant box when the type of sextant that we know Noonan had owned was a Ludolph?

Have you actually taken the time to read the Ameliapedia article (http://tighar.org/smf/../wiki/Sextant_box#The_Pensacola_Sextant_Box_.283547_and_173.29)?

Have you actually read the table (http://tighar.org/wiki/Sextant_box#Sextant_Box_Numbers:_Suggestive_Patterns) with an open mind?

Looked at the pictures?

The Niku numbers fit into the Brandis pattern.

The Brandis boxes are pretty routinely marked with two numbers--if they went through the N.O.

We've collected other pairs of numbers, too, as they have come along.

I got another pair tonight that I will add later (Henry Hughes and Sons, "Huson", 41386, No No., inspection date 1 January 1945).

If you have Ludolph numbers that you would like to add to the table, please send them along.

Nowhere have I (or, I believe, TIGHAR) said that "we are looking for a Brandis box."

The thread that I created for the sextant project is entitled, "Can you add to the list of sextant numbers?" (http://tighar.org/smf/index.php/topic,183.0.html)  It says nothing about wanting only Brandis numbers.  With the numbers we have collected so far, the Pensacola box and the Niku box fit best with the Brandis numbers.  If you take time to read the table, you will see that the Brandis identification is labeled "theoretical." You may look at the page history to see that that label has been on those lines from the very beginning.

I don't mind defending a position I've taken.  I do mind having opinions attributed to me that are demonstrably not mine.  I don't have all of the TIGHAR materials memorized.  If some of them go beyond the evidence at hand, you may take your complaint to the author of those materials.

Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Gary LaPook on December 20, 2011, 09:10:00 PM
My point is that why are they looking for a Brandis sextant box when the type of sextant that we know Noonan had owned was a Ludolph?

Have you actually taken the time to read the Ameliapedia article (http://tighar.org/smf/../wiki/Sextant_box#The_Pensacola_Sextant_Box_.283547_and_173.29)?

Have you actually read the table (http://tighar.org/wiki/Sextant_box#Sextant_Box_Numbers:_Suggestive_Patterns) with an open mind?

Looked at the pictures?

The Niku numbers fit into the Brandis pattern.

The Brandis boxes are pretty routinely marked with two numbers--if they went through the N.O.

We've collected other pairs of numbers, too, as they have come along.

I got another pair tonight that I will add later (Henry Hughes and Sons, "Huson", 41386, No No., inspection date 1 January 1945).

If you have Ludolph numbers that you would like to add to the table, please send them along.

Nowhere have I (or, I believe, TIGHAR) said that "we are looking for a Brandis box."

The thread that I created for the sextant project is entitled, "Can you add to the list of sextant numbers?" (http://tighar.org/smf/index.php/topic,183.0.html)  It says nothing about wanting only Brandis numbers.  With the numbers we have collected so far, the Pensacola box and the Niku box fit best with the Brandis numbers.  If you take time to read the table, you will see that the Brandis identification is labeled "theoretical." You may look at the page history to see that that label has been on those lines from the very beginning.

I don't mind defending a position I've taken.  I do mind having opinions attributed to me that are demonstrably not mine.  I don't have all of the TIGHAR materials memorized.  If some of them go beyond the evidence at hand, you may take your complaint to the author of those materials.
No I hadn't read that article, I didn't know it existed, it is quite interesting. After reading the table and sorting it various ways, I wonder if you aren't working with a skewed data set. The reason I wonder is that the Brandis seems to be  over represented and the White instruments way under represented. The Navy used lots of the White instruments so I don't know why there aren't more entries for them. The Mark 2 sextant, made by White, is even used for the illustration of "the Standard Navy Micrometer Sextant" in The American Practical Navigator, Bowditch, U. S. Navy Hydrographic Office Publication H.O. 9 and also in H.O. 216, Flight Navigation. I wonder if the people finding sextant numbers for your table weren't laboring under the same impression that I had, that they should only look for Brandis instruments. I remember Ric had a photo of the navigation station on the Pan Am Clipper showing what Ric said was a Brandis box on the shelf, but I can't find it now. You might also be interested in following the links I put in post 144, above. If you go to the sextantbook link there are clear photos of the Brandis 206C and also the Byrd sextant.
gl
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Gary LaPook on December 20, 2011, 09:21:05 PM
______________________
Gee, I wonder whatever happened to the sextant carried on the Norwich City.

gl

I think that is a fair wonderment, Gary.  I've actually wondered about that myself.

LTM -
I have a theory that explains the sextant box and the bones. After the Norwich City plowed onto the reef and several crewmen were drowned trying to get ashore, the navigator, fearing for his life, escaped ashore taking his sextant with him thinking he might need it to get off the island after everyone had left. He didn't run far enough and the crewmen who were angry about the loss of their mess buddies hunted him down and killed him. Of course they covered this up, saying the navigator was also lost in the surf.

gl
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Gary LaPook on December 20, 2011, 10:08:06 PM
Gary - I'd appreciate some help finding documentation defining FN's octant/sextant.  The only documention I've found describes the one that Harry Manning loaned him as a "Pioneer...#12-36", presumably meaning Bureau of Aeronautics (Bu. Aero) serial 12-36.  This doesn't identify the Mark or Model number.  Is that information available?  The Pioneer model 342 (Mk.3, Mod.1) and model 206 (Mk.1, Mod.4) were both being sold in the early 30's, yet were physically quite different.  How do we know which model was on the flight?  You discussed this to some extent in your post #8 in "Questions for the Celestial Choir", but did not at that time have documentation.  Have you found any yet that you could share?
Note that it makes more sense to me that FN would prefer an A5-style instrument, similar to your A7, for taking shots out a nearly vertical Lockheed side window. A more traditional open-frame sextant or octant would not be handy shooting high elevations, with the possible exception of shots from the front seats, making the presence of such an instrument seem less likely to be useful.  On the other hand, you also mentioned that a marine sextant is more accurate than an aeronautical octant, so it might have been Fred's preference for critical navigation work.
Defining the instrument borrowed from Manning would help a little.
i don't think there is any ambiguity. In all the literature you will see that only the MkIII type instrument is referred to as a "Pioneer bubble octant." The 206 is really the Brandis and everyone knew that.
gl
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Martin X. Moleski, SJ on December 21, 2011, 02:39:13 AM
No I hadn't read that article, I didn't know it existed, it is quite interesting.

Thanks.  It's one of my favorites.

Quote
After reading the table and sorting it various ways, I wonder if you aren't working with a skewed data set.

If you have data to add, we will add it.

If you can find the Naval Observatory logs, they should immediately tell us whether 3500/1542 was part of the system.

That won't tell us how it got to Niku.

All it will tell us is that the sextant box had spent some time in the Navy system.
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Andrew M McKenna on December 21, 2011, 10:20:00 PM
Gary

We didn't start out looking for Brandis boxes.  We started looking for sextant boxes that had two numbers as described by Gallagher in his telegrams.  Only after looking at many, many sextant boxes did we start to figure out that there was a pattern with the boxes that had two numbers, and that led us to Brandis as most of the boxes with two numbers contained Brandis sextants with two numbers.  Brandis is the result of the research, not the assumption at the start.

Keep in mind that Gallager wrote in his telegram "Sextant box has two numbers on it 3500 ( stencilled ) and 1542--sextant being old fashioned and probably painted over with black enamel."

The "stencilled" is a big clue.  In the boxes that we've looked at, including the one that I own, the Brandis number is stenciled, as in painted stenciled numbers, on the box as well as imprinted on the arc of the sextant.  The Navy number is punched / imprinted into the wood as well as etched on the arc by hand.

The point is that the research into boxes with two numbers pointed to Brandis boxes that had been in the USN system and therefore had a USNO calibration number, we did not set out to find Brandis boxes with two numbers.

Many of the boxes contain sextants that do not match the numbers on the box.  The Ludolph sextant at Pensacola apparently does not have matching numbers to the box, so it could still be a Brandis box. 

I don't know what numbers are on that sextant, or if it has one number or two.  Does anyone?  Would be interesting to know.

Andrew
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Gary LaPook on December 22, 2011, 02:32:32 AM


Anyway, it seems there are ample examples of FN owning his own equipment - I'm satisfied.


LTM -
What examples?

gl
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Gary LaPook on December 22, 2011, 02:44:31 AM
Good points, John.



I'm not sure how one would miss Catalina, with or without an octant or sextant, but it is an interesting exercise that Gary shared (I'd like to hear more about the $100 hamburgers too  ;D).
LTM -
Actually buffalo burgers.
It's the best way to visit Catalina, cheaper and quicker than taking the boat across. You land at the airport and take a half hour bus ride into town for sightseeing. The airport is on a plateau 1500 feet above the sea with a cliff at each end of the runway, don't get low on approach or you end up making a smoking airplane shaped hole in the cliff.
If you take the boat over, you end up taking the same bus tour to see the buffalo and the other wildlife so flying in just lets you take the tour starting at the other end and you take the bus back to the airport with the other tourists.

gl

Very cool, Gary!  Sorry I forgot the distinction of 'buffalo burger' - I realized that but lapsed as I wrote it.

I'm envious - you have a wonderful area to fly about in to enjoy many attractions.  What you've described is one of the great things about the privilege of flying easier access to some real wonders out there in this world.  Catalina is a beautiful and kind of mysterious place in terms of aura, I think.

Maybe one day I can fly there in person too - quite a nice adventure right off the coast!  I'd have to 'do' the Bahamas to get anything llike the same offshore effect, passport and all - and that would be very 'different' anyway.

Thanks again for sharing that!
Well Jeff, if you liked that story you might like this one too: http://www.fer3.com/arc/m2.aspx?i=108647&y=200906

gl
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Gary LaPook on December 22, 2011, 03:08:02 PM

By 1937 the Pioneer octant had been perfected and was carried in thousands of Air Force and Navy planes, virtually unchanged, through the end of WW2. Bubble octants are extremely simple and reliable instruments. Bubble octants were used on trans-oceanic airline flights through the 1970's and commonly on Air Force planes until less than ten years ago, (I believe that there are still some Air Force planes with them.) In all of these uses, only ONE octant was carried in each airplane, no "preventer" in B-17s, no "preventer" in Boeing 707s, no "preventer" in B-47s, no "preventer" in C-130s, and no "preventer" in B-52s, and none of these planes were limited by space and weight constraints like the Electra. No second octant was carried in any of these planes because they are so simple and reliable.
So, like I said, there is no evidence to prove that a marine sextant was carried on the Electra, the burden of proof is on those who make that claim.

gl
We tend to focus on Earhart and Noonan as being very important people, but in the scheme of things, not so much. Compared to a B-52 on its way to Russia to drop some nukes in an effort to save millions of people in our country from the Russian nukes, Noonan and Earhart don't count at all. Yet, even in light of the importance of the B-52 missions, carrying only one sextant was good enough for Curtis LeMay and the Strategic Air Command (a notoriously hard-assed outfit.) If one sextant was good enough for LeMay then there is no reason to believe that one sextant was not good enough for Noonan.

gl
Helen Day helped them "carry down their things-various items including pith helmets, thermos jugs, and a machete in case they were forced down in the jungle. Someone carried Amelia's small suitcase, which held five shirts, two pairs of slacks, a change of shoes, a light working coverall, a weightless raincoat, linen, and toilet articles. Fred carried only his octant." East To The Dawn, Susan Butler.

gl

Here is a link to a movie (http://www.criticalpast.com/video/65675063657_Amelia-Earhart-Putnam_Fred-Noonan_transatlantic-flight_Fred-Noonan) showing them carefully weighing everything going on to the plane and you can see the pith helmet. They were obviously concerned with weight so would they have carried an extra un-needed sextant? This movie adds additional support to the credibility and accuracy of Helen Day's statement.
gl
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: JNev on December 22, 2011, 08:13:32 PM


Anyway, it seems there are ample examples of FN owning his own equipment - I'm satisfied.


LTM -
What examples?

gl

The one now at the Naval Air Museum in Pensacola, FL, for one, which was "...donated by W. A. Cluthe, a retired Pan Am captain, who said that he had borrowed the Ludolph sextant from Fred Noonan." (http://tighar.org/wiki/Sextant_box_found_on_Nikumaroro)

Unless of course you have good reason to believe Cluthe himself was a thief for having accepted and then given away goods that did not belong to FN to loan to Cluthe in the first place.  I'm not prepared to make that claim.

LTM -
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Gary LaPook on December 22, 2011, 10:53:05 PM


Anyway, it seems there are ample examples of FN owning his own equipment - I'm satisfied.


LTM -


gl
What examples?

gl

The one now at the Naval Air Museum in Pensacola, FL, for one, which was "...donated by W. A. Cluthe, a retired Pan Am captain, who said that he had borrowed the Ludolph sextant from Fred Noonan." (http://tighar.org/wiki/Sextant_box_found_on_Nikumaroro)

Unless of course you have good reason to believe Cluthe himself was a thief for having accepted and then given away goods that did not belong to FN to loan to Cluthe in the first place.  I'm not prepared to make that claim.

LTM -
That was one he gave away when he was teaching navigation at Pan Am. This was even more remote in time than the 1935 flight that he wrote to Weems about. What this tells us is that at a remote point in time Noonan owned one sextant and that he had no need for a marine sextant anymore since he was now involved in flight navigation so he loaned it to a student at Pan Am. It is a real leap to claim that this proves that he carried his own sextant on the Electra many years later. Do you have any proof whatsoever that he personally owned any other marine sextant? If anything, this tends to disprove your theory in that this does prove that the only sextant that there is any evidence that he actually owned was NOT on the flight.
.
gl
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Thom Boughton on December 23, 2011, 01:52:29 AM
I remember the 172H in that I believe the earliest Lycomings Cessna used in that model were problematic - valve train issues I believe.  I'm glad you didn't suffer that problem on top of the fuel issues.


I believe you're speaking of the Lycoming O320-H2AD.  An interesting engine, that one. 

I've been told (by someone I would believe should know) that it was originally developed for helicopter applications.  Don't know for sure that this is true...wouldn't surprise me though.  Yes, it had valve train troubles....the valve lifter rods would seize in the housing tubes.  Plus...it had a curious double magneto.  Two magnetos....one housing ...all sharing a common drive.  Really sort of defeated the purpose of having two magnetos in the first place.  And when you unmated it from the engine....you ran a 50/50 chance of dropping a magnet down inside the engine case.  A real bugger to work on.





....tb
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Gary LaPook on December 23, 2011, 10:14:33 AM
I remember the 172H in that I believe the earliest Lycomings Cessna used in that model were problematic - valve train issues I believe.  I'm glad you didn't suffer that problem on top of the fuel issues.


I believe you're speaking of the Lycoming O320-H2AD.  An interesting engine, that one. 

I've been told (by someone I would believe should know) that it was originally developed for helicopter applications.  Don't know for sure that this is true...wouldn't surprise me though.  Yes, it had valve train troubles....the valve lifter rods would seize in the housing tubes.  Plus...it had a curious double magneto.  Two magnetos....one housing ...all sharing a common drive.  Really sort of defeated the purpose of having two magnetos in the first place.  And when you unmated it from the engine....you ran a 50/50 chance of dropping a magnet down inside the engine case.  A real bugger to work on.





....tb
Wow!, brings back memories. I rented a Cherokee Six and flew it from Chicago to the Virgin islands and back. The very next time someone flew that plane the engine quit cold and the pilot ended up ditching it in the lake. When they fished it out and examined the engine it turned out that the drive shaft to the magnetos had sheered. I believe that it was the IO-540-D1 engine and it also had both magnetos in one box with one drive shaft so the failure of the drive caused the loss of both mags. WTF were they thinking!!! when this engine was designed and certificated. It gave me something to think about, it was like somebody was trying to tell me something, with all the land around the plane ended up being DITCHED! I had just put 18.4 hours and about two thousand miles on the plane flying over the ocean and I promised myself that I wouldn't fly single engine over the ocean anymore. But, we all break promises as you might already know if you followed the link I placed in reply # 156 above (http://www.fer3.com/arc/m2.aspx?i=108647&y=200906).

gl
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Harry Howe, Jr. on December 23, 2011, 01:01:02 PM

Gary
Your connection with Chicago, Hinsdale?  I was born/reared in a suburb south of Chicago (Chicago Heights) and worked at a Laboratory near Hinsdale (Argonne National Labratory). Wasn't flying then.  Got my ticket in 1977 (soloed on the 50th anniversity of Lindbergh's arrival in Paris  May 27, 1977.
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Harry Howe, Jr. on December 23, 2011, 01:08:43 PM

Sorry about shouting on my previous post, but I don't know what I did wrong to make it come up bold.   DUH
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Martin X. Moleski, SJ on December 23, 2011, 01:40:40 PM
Sorry about shouting on my previous post, but I don't know what I did wrong to make it come up bold.   DUH

You probably hit CTRL-B by accident.

You can always go back and modify a post (http://tighar.org/smf/index.php/topic,453.0.html) that didn't turn out the way you wanted it to.
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: Gary LaPook on December 23, 2011, 04:52:32 PM

Gary
Your connection with Chicago, Hinsdale?  I was born/reared in a suburb south of Chicago (Chicago Heights) and worked at a Laboratory near Hinsdale (Argonne National Labratory). Wasn't flying then.  Got my ticket in 1977 (soloed on the 50th anniversity of Lindbergh's arrival in Paris  May 27, 1977.
My first flying job was flight instructing at the old Hinsdale airport in 1972. I was in the neighborhood about a year ago where I ate lunch with friends at the chicken restaurant located near where the airport used to be.

gl
Title: Re: Why wasn't Gardiner identified in the radio messages?
Post by: JNev on December 27, 2011, 04:32:34 PM


Anyway, it seems there are ample examples of FN owning his own equipment - I'm satisfied.


LTM -


gl
What examples?

gl

The one now at the Naval Air Museum in Pensacola, FL, for one, which was "...donated by W. A. Cluthe, a retired Pan Am captain, who said that he had borrowed the Ludolph sextant from Fred Noonan." (http://tighar.org/wiki/Sextant_box_found_on_Nikumaroro)

Unless of course you have good reason to believe Cluthe himself was a thief for having accepted and then given away goods that did not belong to FN to loan to Cluthe in the first place.  I'm not prepared to make that claim.

LTM -
That was one he gave away when he was teaching navigation at Pan Am. This was even more remote in time than the 1935 flight that he wrote to Weems about. What this tells us is that at a remote point in time Noonan owned one sextant and that he had no need for a marine sextant anymore since he was now involved in flight navigation so he loaned it to a student at Pan Am. It is a real leap to claim that this proves that he carried his own sextant on the Electra many years later. Do you have any proof whatsoever that he personally owned any other marine sextant? If anything, this tends to disprove your theory in that this does prove that the only sextant that there is any evidence that he actually owned was NOT on the flight.
.
gl

What theory is that, Gary? 

You asked if I had an example of FN ever owning such an instrument so I offered an example.  If that's a 'theory' I guess it's 'proven' - he owned at least one.

Beyond that I don't know that it has any real bearing on the possibility that NR16020 came to rest at Niku one way or the other - that's about the only theory I have in mind on this project.

LTM -