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Amelia Earhart Search Forum => Celestial choir => Topic started by: Jose Pedro Isern Comas on January 07, 2011, 02:12:38 PM

Title: Betty's Notes - 158 mi.
Post by: Jose Pedro Isern Comas on January 07, 2011, 02:12:38 PM
In Betty's Notes (http://tighar.org/Projects/Earhart/Documents/Notebook/notebook.html) we find these entries:

Entry Page Might be? Meaning?
"158 mi." Page 49 (http://tighar.org/Projects/Earhart/Documents/Notebook/page49.html) 158°? True heading AE/FN chart Howland to Niku?
"58 338" Page 51 (http://tighar.org/Projects/Earhart/Documents/Notebook/page51.html) 158° 338°? see above

True heading between Howland (center) - outer edges Niku: 158,9°T-159,3°T
True headings between 5 NM outbound Howland (center) 249°T - outer edges Niku: 158,1°T-158,4°T (suggesting Howland coordinates AE/FN map South of the line 159-339)

Question, your thoughts on 158 miles possibly being 158°, i.e. True heading Howland (AE/FN map) to NC/NY/Niku...  Or any other known possibility for 158 mi.?

LTM, Jose
Title: Re: Betty's Notes - 158 mi.
Post by: Gus Rubio on January 07, 2011, 03:16:24 PM
I too thought the notation "58 338" resembled the line of position "157 337" that AE had indicated to the Itasca in one of her last radio transmissions.  Wouldn't that imply that AE/FN knew they had landed on Gardner/Niku?

Also, welcome from another new forum poster.


-Gus
Title: Re: Betty's Notes - 158 mi.
Post by: Mike Piner on January 07, 2011, 10:22:01 PM
In the forum archives, find 15Apr2007 16:07:03, Ric is addressing the "58-338" notiotation in Betty's notebook, Others before and after.   Also me, sometime in 2007 as a newbe. 
   It is very informative to go back and read those old discussions in the Forum archives.
MikeP
Title: Re: Betty's Notes - 158 mi.
Post by: Martin X. Moleski, SJ on January 07, 2011, 11:41:55 PM
In the forum archives, find 15Apr2007 16:07:03, Ric is addressing the "58-338" notiotation in Betty's notebook, Others before and after.   Also me, sometime in 2007 as a newbe. 
   It is very informative to go back and read those old discussions in the Forum archives.

Here is the link to the April 2007 archive. (http://tighar.org/Projects/Earhart/forum/Forum_Archives/200704.txt)

On that page, search for "LOP/Betty's notebook".
Title: Re: 281 North: To/two wait on/at Norwich
Post by: Martin X. Moleski, SJ on January 09, 2011, 10:39:57 AM
... reading the archives for now ...

If it's not too late, keep track of the good posts you find in the archives for future reference.

I read the archives that were available in 2000 when I joined TIGHAR, and I have read the Forum religiously since then.  The Forum is a real gold mine of information, but it has all of the drawbacks of a real gold mine.  You sometimes have to shift and sift tons of ore to find the flakes and nuggets of gold embedded in the ore.
Title: Re: 281 North: To/two wait on/at Norwich
Post by: Martin X. Moleski, SJ on January 09, 2011, 06:20:26 PM
I will work on something, have sent you an email.  Might take some time though  :)

No problem.  I think I heard Cesar Chavez say, "The poor have more time than money."  The site is a work in progress and probably always will be.    ;)
Title: Re: Betty's Notes - 158 mi.
Post by: Christophe Blondel on January 16, 2011, 02:42:20 PM
Jose,

how do you want 281 N : ..--- ---.. .---- / -. to be heard instead of TO WAIT ON : - --- / .-- .- .. - / --- -. ?

281 N has two initial dots and a single dot sequence in the middle, wheras TO WAIT ON begins with two dash-only letters, and possesses three intermediate dot sequences. Either sent by AE/FN or rekeyed by a good Samaritan, you cannot escape the fact that this message was received via Morse code, so we must forget about phonetical similitudes of the English-transcripted message.
An interesting suggestion may be nevertheles that NORTH could be the result of hearing only a part of NORWICH (T is a single - that can easily be picked from either the W or the C). That would have actually made the hearing more like NOR T H, but the unwanted spacings may have been attributed to the hesitation of the sender.
A question is that, as far as I understand, we do not even know preciseley if the Wailupe operators actually heard 281 NORTH or just 281 N. Does anybody know ? If they just received N, we can forget the idea.

Christophe Blondel
Title: Re: 281 North: To/two wait on/at Norwich
Post by: Walter Runck on February 11, 2011, 05:13:15 PM
In the forum archives, find 15Apr2007 16:07:03, Ric is addressing the "58-338" notiotation in Betty's notebook, Others before and after.   Also me, sometime in 2007 as a newbe.  
   It is very informative to go back and read those old discussions in the Forum archives.

Here is the link to the April 2007 archive. (http://tighar.org/Projects/Earhart/forum/Forum_Archives/200704.txt)

On that page, search for "LOP/Betty's notebook".

Thanks Mike, Marty.

Many referrals to LOP but AE/FN knew precisely where they were I believe, except for the name of the island.



The question of whether they knew they were on Gardner or not has been eating at me for a while.  If they gave up on Howland and headed for the Phoenix Islands, you have to wonder if they knew anything about them, had a chart or other reference that would help, or were just winging it, so to speak.
If Gardner was just the first land they saw where they thought they could bring it down safely, did they know what it was?  If it’s me and I’m betting the farm on this landing, I’d be squawking everything I knew about it (especially where I’m going to try it) before I went in, but if she did no one heard her. 
Anyway, the current version of Sailing Directions, a nautical pub that FN would have been familiar with from his time at sea, describes the islands in a way that would have given them a pretty good chance of making the ID before they landed, including the wreck.  Has anyone checked a 1937 version of this to see if the wreck was mentioned?  I haven’t found back issues yet, but if anyone has figured out what charts he was using or would have had available, I’d be curious to see what how Gardner was described and whether the wreck was indicated.  It just strikes me as odd that the post loss transmissions don’t seem to include the name of the island.  Kind of hard to imagine that they could find it without knowing what it was.
The current version lists the wreck as “reportedly breaking up”, so it’s not an up to the minute pub, even today, but Norwich City had been up on the reef for 7 years at this point, and a fairly well publicized rescue had gathered some recent data about the island.
Once they’re down safely, there’s no “Welcome to Gardner” sign, no customs guys, no nothing.  Except a wreck with a name.    Even with just a basic chart, a couple of sights would have given them an accurate location pretty easily and it’s hard to believe that a guy who just did 2500 DR miles at 100 plus knots couldn’t figure out which island on the chart he was on.  I believe Amelia had even studied basic celestial (mention of Bowditch in one of the books).  Does anyone know if she was capable of reducing a sight?
Since the sextant box apparently made it to shore, how about the sextant itself?  Or the octant?  What was more useful, the box or the contents?




Title: Re: 281 North: To/two wait on/at Norwich
Post by: Martin X. Moleski, SJ on February 11, 2011, 11:00:22 PM
...What was more useful, the box or the contents?

I'm going to guess that by the time the castaway made his or her final camp, the box was more useful than the sextant.

The sextant is only helpful while you can still transmit and try to tell people where you are.

After that, the box may come in handy for keeping your survival diary safe.  It would be the foundation for a best-seller if and when you get rescued.
Title: Re: 281 North: To/two wait on/at Norwich
Post by: Walter Runck on February 12, 2011, 07:36:51 AM
...What was more useful, the box or the contents?

I'm going to guess that by the time the castaway made his or her final camp, the box was more useful than the sextant.

I agree with your statement as far as it concerns the final camp, but I was thinking more about the time between the landing and then.  If I think the Electra is in jeopardy and the island is deserted, I'm gonna strip her to the bones.  Anything that would help me goes ashore.  Sextant (there was a Norwich City or rescue ship lifeboat near the wreck, I believe), food, clothing, fuel, signalling gear, tanks, optics, navigation library (FN planning to start nav school, I'm skeptical about him ditching charts, logs, pubs etc.), fire extinguisher, whatever isn't nailed down.



The sextant is only helpful while you can still transmit and try to tell people where you are.


Unless and until your position changes.  If I'm stuck on an island with a boat, maybe I'm not so stuck after all.



After that, the box may come in handy for keeping your survival diary safe.  It would be the foundation for a best-seller if and when you get rescued.

Agreed.  GP would not have been pleased to have that kind of a marketing hook not survive for posterity.  If he thought she could sell books before...

Actually, I may have just invented my own whole new conspiracy theory.  The disappearance was a marketing stunt gone awry!    ;)
Title: Re: Betty's Notes - 158 mi.
Post by: h.a.c. van asten on May 05, 2011, 04:00:04 AM
JPIs com. I have the strong impression that "Betty" (if she ever existed) was dreaming when she wrote down the " messages" , and that she, after having informed people , could , later , no more draw back her statements. Her writing of every entry is perfectly on and between the lines of the exercise book : that is not the way you put down randomly heard radio calls , it is the way you spell out your day dreams on paper. In later years she may have started to more and more believe her own phantasy until the pseudo truth took possession of her. The psycholical name for this phenomenon is pseudologica phantastica

Title: Re: Betty's Notes - 158 mi.
Post by: david alan atchason on May 05, 2011, 11:04:03 AM
It is a little curious to me Betty didn't ask anybody (like her parents) to help her listen, I think the transmission went on quite a while. Her account does jibe somewhat with what Edgar Cayce and another psychic said, as to A & F surviving, but Fred being in bad shape, Amelia also shaken up. Maybe she heard these reports and was influenced by them.
Title: Re: Betty's Notes - 158 mi.
Post by: Roger Ward on May 05, 2011, 12:57:02 PM
It is a little curious to me Betty didn't ask anybody (like her parents) to help her listen, I think the transmission went on quite a while.

Do you mean like this:

Quote
The transmissions continued to come in, off and on, for about three hours until 6:15 p.m. At 5:15 her father came home from work and Betty excitedly told him to come listen. After a few minutes her father ran next door to see if his neighbor could also hear it on his radio, but perhaps because his neighbor did not have a long antenna, nothing was heard on the neighbor’s set. Later that evening Betty’s father reported the event to the local Coast Guard station but he was told that the government had ships in the area and everything was under control.

http://tighar.org/Projects/Earhart/Archives/Documents/Notebook/notebook.html
Title: Re: Betty's Notes - 158 mi.
Post by: Tim Collins on May 05, 2011, 01:45:03 PM
JPIs com. I have the strong impression that "Betty" (if she ever existed) was dreaming when she wrote down the " messages" , and that she, after having informed people , could , later , no more draw back her statements. Her writing of every entry is perfectly on and between the lines of the exercise book : that is not the way you put down randomly heard radio calls , it is the way you spell out your day dreams on paper. In later years she may have started to more and more believe her own phantasy until the pseudo truth took possession of her. The psycholical name for this phenomenon is pseudologica phantastica



While I'm sure there certainly are examples of this type of thing out there, I would be surprised if anyone here would even remotely ascribe such a thing to Betty. Her marginalia is stylistically perfectly in keeping with the context of the time (though admittedly I can only attest to the relevance of the song lyrics).  As for legibility and neatness, remember that that was emphasized back then (unlike today) and more readily seen. Besides, Bett is a girl and they tend to be more fastidious about such things. Also remember that Betty's notes only represent a percentage of what may have been broadcast. It's not as though she was transcribing a monologue.  Just some thoughts.
Title: Re: Betty's Notes - 158 mi.
Post by: david alan atchason on May 05, 2011, 04:16:59 PM
I was wrong her calling her father for sure. I kind of had a feeling I might have been. I did not reread the account. But did her father corroborate what Betty heard? Did the neighbor come listen to Betty's set? Was the account as detailed as that? Before I plunge on here, I will check what the story was.
Title: Re: Betty's Notes - 158 mi.
Post by: david alan atchason on May 05, 2011, 04:53:01 PM
I just checked on Betty's Notes, and she has written that the transmissions went on after 5:15 when she presumably called her father. But there is no assertion that her father listened and He thought he heard or likewise the neighbor listened or anything like that. I know I'm nitpicking and in the big scheme of things this means little. Did the neighbor ever comment on this incident? Or did he just go back to eating his dinner? I don't see anything in her account that reveals any detail that she couldn't have heard on the news or just made up. I have a family member who is given to the behavior named as pseudologica phantastica (I didn't know it had a name) and I concluded long ago it is pointless to argue with someone like that about these fabrications,  it just causes hard feelings.

Maybe there is a more detailed version of this story that would be more convincing. I'm just being a skeptic. I welcome any corrections to my view that anyone wishes to make.
Title: Re: Betty's Notes - 158 mi.
Post by: Ted G Campbell on May 05, 2011, 08:15:36 PM
Remember Betty's Dad did take the info to the local Cost Guard station.
Ted Campbell
Title: Re: Betty's Notes - 158 mi.
Post by: h.a.c. van asten on May 05, 2011, 11:01:01 PM
D.A.Atchas. The syndrome is pseudologia phantastica (not ..logica ) , I myself usually make the spello myself. Name origines from gr. logos = to speak + pseudo = untrue.
Title: Re: Betty's Notes - 158 mi.
Post by: Roger Ward on May 06, 2011, 07:37:14 AM
I just checked on Betty's Notes, and she has written that the transmissions went on after 5:15 when she presumably called her father. But there is no assertion that her father listened and He thought he heard or likewise the neighbor listened or anything like that. I know I'm nitpicking and in the big scheme of things this means little. Did the neighbor ever comment on this incident? Or did he just go back to eating his dinner? I don't see anything in her account that reveals any detail that she couldn't have heard on the news or just made up. I have a family member who is given to the behavior named as pseudologica phantastica (I didn't know it had a name) and I concluded long ago it is pointless to argue with someone like that about these fabrications,  it just causes hard feelings.

Maybe there is a more detailed version of this story that would be more convincing. I'm just being a skeptic. I welcome any corrections to my view that anyone wishes to make.

Skepticism can be a good thing, and I think that a certain amount of it is even encouraged here. In regard to Betty's notebook, we have seemingly three options that I can think of: First, accept it and her account at face value; Second, assume it is a hoax; Third, accept the possibility that it is the result of delusional thinking. I have long been a proponent of Occam's Razor. When looking for an explanation, that which is the simplest and requires the least number of assumptions is most likely true. Much of the information in Betty's notebook simply seems to corroborate information that exists exists elsewhere.

Until or unless someone familiar with Betty could show or even assert that she has suffered from some form of mental illness, I tend to assume there was none.
Title: Re: Betty's Notes - 158 mi.
Post by: david alan atchason on May 06, 2011, 10:02:56 AM
I've thought some more about Betty's notes. If the father reported to the Coast Guard, when did he do it? A day later? A week? If he reported it expeditiously, he should have remembered it was two days ago, or last Thursday or whatever. The story almost makes it sound like he waited a good while. And it doesn't seem like he told the C.G. "I heard it, too". Of course maybe the account from 75 years ago left a lot of details out. Betty could have been listening to a hoax, although apparently no one else reported it. I just read some of the Caroline Dow material, and that speaks of a yacht race nearby where a boat sank. If Betty was fabricating her notebook account, I can certainly see her father humoring her and telling her, "I will pass this on to the Coast Guard." That they apparently disregarded this story may have been because they genuinely felt the story was not valid, not because they were careless. Besides, it gave no pertinent information for them to act on. If Betty's Notes were a fabrication, then that solves all the mysteries of her account in one fell swoop.
Title: Re: Betty's Notes - 158 mi.
Post by: Ted G Campbell on May 06, 2011, 12:08:10 PM
Do your homework before you make a fool out of yourself.

Lookup "Betty's notebook" in the history of this site.

Ted Campbell
Title: Re: Betty's Notes - 158 mi.
Post by: Chris Johnson on May 06, 2011, 12:43:59 PM
Do your homework before you make a fool out of yourself.

Lookup "Betty's notebook" in the history of this site.

Ted Campbell

Link http://tighar.org/Projects/Earhart/Archives/Documents/Notebook/notebook.html (http://tighar.org/Projects/Earhart/Archives/Documents/Notebook/notebook.html)

Quote
The transmissions continued to come in, off and on, for about three hours until 6:15 p.m. At 5:15 her father came home from work and Betty excitedly told him to come listen. After a few minutes her father ran next door to see if his neighbor could also hear it on his radio, but perhaps because his neighbor did not have a long antenna, nothing was heard on the neighbor’s set. Later that evening Betty’s father reported the event to the local Coast Guard station but he was told that the government had ships in the area and everything was under control. Betty kept her notebook and, over the years, occasionally tried to get someone to pay attention to her claims of having heard
Title: Re: Betty's Notes - 158 mi.
Post by: Cynthia M Kennedy on May 20, 2011, 11:17:21 PM
I recently ordered the Betty's Notebook DVD and what comes across is exactly as you say--"had a story that haunted her and that she wanted to share."  It is truly fascinating to hear her tell the story of what she heard.

Cindy
TIGHAR #3167


Chris' post - "Link http://tighar.org/Projects/Earhart/Archives/Documents/Notebook/notebook.html"

Thanks Chris - just stumbled into this string and was aching for this to turn up.

Indeed - homework will be most helpful to those pursuing this - TIGHAR did an excellent job in its review of Betty's story and her notes.  The reader can of course judge for himself, but the questions raised in this string have been well considered.

Betty's story is fascinating - and one thing that struck me is that she never seemed focused on self-aggrandizement or gain, just had a story that haunted her and that she wanted to share - and the credible evidence of her notebook from so long ago.  It is also true that kids in her time were strongly encouraged (and graded upon) neatness in handwriting, etc. - things that are not stressed strongly enough today.  People born after the '50s at least seem to know little of such skills and their importance to an older generation unless they paid close attention to elder's stories and writings.

Whatever Betty heard, I am for one convinced that it was 'real' at least in terms of how it came across the airwaves.  I am also personally confident that what was described is consistent with a real transmission from AE and FN, but that is admittedly a personal conclusion that cannot be proven.  I remain haunted by the use of numbers and letters and the reference to what may have been the shipwreck - but read for yourselves via the link above.

LTM -
Title: Re: Betty's Notes - 158 mi.
Post by: Ted G Campbell on May 21, 2011, 08:06:03 PM
What you may find interesting is reading Betty's notebook in two methods: 1) what you see is what you get and 2) try putting words to the numbers you see - e.g. is 2 a number or is it two, to, or too!  If you do this you will see a differant story emerge.  Also try rhymes with the words e.g. N.Y N.Y vis Newark Newark
Ted Campbell